Rat u Ukrajini

Filipenko wrote:

boomer crook wrote:

mislim da su ukri u fazonu da nece plakati previse za donbasom ali kao sto je ono bese rekao musolini kada je napao francusku: treba im jos mrtvih za pregovore.

Ne bih se slozio. Vracam pricu na neke polazne osnove - to je bio najbogatiji deo Ukrajine, sa najvecim energetskim rezervama/potencijalom. Sigurno ga ne zele tek tako prepustiti, a tamo su drzali najbolje i najopremljenije jedinice od pocetka rata. Sigurno su sada jos nabrijaniji da se tuku. Jedino ako Rusi ne naprave neki veliki pomak u naredna 2-3 dana (npr. potpuno odseku Slavjansk i Kramatorsk i pounistavaju dobar deo ukrajinskih efektiva tamo), mada sumnjam.

kapetanm wrote:Kako se cini oni nisu ni napali Kijev da bi tu pukli

"Russia’s inability to overwhelm its weaker neighbor, its massive battlefield losses, the punishing international reaction — all of this suggests that Putin made a terrible mistake."https://t.co/W0rkeYJrjq

— NewsandInfo_Clearinghouse (@NewsandInfo_C) April 1, 2022

The strategy was clear to virtually all credible military observers: Push down from the north to decapitate the Ukrainian government and end the war swiftly.

“[Russia] made large assumptions about their ability to reach Kyiv in 48 hours, and most of their decisions were shaped around this,” Henrik Paulsson, a professor in the department of war studies at the Swedish Defense University, told me at the time. “[It was] a strategic choice, shaped by bias and assumption, that tried for a mad dash that failed. I don’t think that’s really debatable.”

(...)

“The air assault operation on Hostomel was very risky and makes little sense to just tie down Ukrainian forces. Russia also conducted relatively few missile strikes in Kyiv in the beginning, which you would expect in a feint, and the forces used were too large for this purpose,” explains Rob Lee, an expert on Russian military policy at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. “Regime change is the best explanation for this operation. Once the initial dash failed, Russian forces tried to encircle Kyiv, likely as part of a compellence strategy, but they weren’t able to.“ (A “compellence” strategy is one that aims to coerce an opponent to concede rather than outright destroying them.)

The Russian government’s political behavior has generally supported this interpretation. RIA Novosti, a government news agency, accidentally published a prewritten opinion piece celebrating the collapse of Ukraine’s government February 26. The article, which was swiftly pulled, forthrightly celebrates Putin’s decision to bring the country under Russian control.

“Ukraine has returned to Russia. This doesn’t mean that its statehood will be liquidated but it will be re-structured, re-established and returned to its natural condition as part of the Russian world,” the article stated.

Some Russians who had criticized the Kremlin have turned into cheerleaders for the war. Those who publicly oppose it have found the word “traitor” scrawled on their apartment door. https://t.co/69RCz8BzcP

— ꧁???????????????????? ꧂ (@LMarieVResists) April 1, 2022

kondo wrote:Šteta što ne pravite karijere u vojsci, to je sve što mogu da primetim.