Virus

Mór Thököly wrote:Vakcine vise nisu tu da eliminisu pandemiju nego da sprece smrt i raspad sistema.

Shabir Madhi, 19h, 8 tweets, 2 min read
Reflecting on SA experience with Omricon thus far in Gauteng - the epicentre in SA. 1. Rate of increase per capita much quicker than any of previous three waves. Strongly suggestive of more transmissible than even delta. 2. Positivity rate 30-40% in some settings. 
3. Three weeks into resurgence, many adults and children testing SARS-CoV-2 pos in hospital , but COVID hospitalisation remains low relative to community case rate. High % (30%) women in labour coincidentally testing positive. Also,most children testing pos are coincidental Ix. 
4. Death rate very low compared to period of same case rate in previous waves. Trend over next week will be informative, but optimistic unlikely to surge. 5. Study in SA and elsewhere confirm omicron 5 fold more antibody evasive than beta., hence many breakthrough and re-Ix. 
6. Attenuation of clinical course of illness. Likely explanation is the 73% of population in Gauteng with previous infection and/or vaccine induced underpinning T cell immunity, since omicron largely antibody evasive. Hospitalisation for severe Covid mainly in unvacccinated 
7. Unfortunate still delay rollout of 3rd Pfizer dose to older than 60yrs and immuncompromised. Little value doing so after the wave has already peaked probably in next 2 weeks. Likewise no 2nd dose for ALL single dose JJ recipients inexcusable with 15 million vaccines in depot. 
8. Health facilities under pressure due to infections in staff, needing to go into isolation for 10’days- despite the isolation (and quarantine) recommendations being outdated and probably obsolete in context of underpinning immunity and widespread infection. 
9. IF downturn in infection rate and no massive surge in hospitalisation and death in the next 2-3 weeks, may well mark turning point in pandemic, particularly since SA not boosting to prevent infection and mild illness like HIC are doing (at cost exacerbating vaccine inequity) 
10. Gvt response correctly remains measured by not increasing restrictions and not panicking with increase in cases, but seem to rather focussing on COVID ( excluding coincidental Ix) hospitalisation and health facility capacity. 11. Lastly, vaccine coverage still lagging. 

Update for 11th Dec. 633 new cases reported today, following the trend line very closely. The slope of that line *still* suggests that cases are doubling every 1.68 days. It could be slightly slower -- and I expect it will slow -- but right now 3 days is ridiculously optimistic. pic.twitter.com/t0WMnHamir

— Colin Davis (@ProfColinDavis) December 11, 2021

kondo wrote:

Mór Thököly wrote:Vakcine vise nisu tu da eliminisu pandemiju nego da sprece smrt i raspad sistema.

Da li je realno da si postao glas optimizma na ovoj temi? Jedini!

All cases for which there is available information on severity were either asymptomatic or mild. There have been no Omicron-related deaths reported thus far. These figures should be assessed with caution, as the number of confirmed cases is too low to understand if the disease clinical spectrum of Omicron differs from that of previously detected variants.

Country/Region: EU/EEA Total
Confirmed cases: 732

#Omicron estimated to become dominant in on Tuesday, Dec. 14th, and ~97% by

DAILY progression is on par with WEEKLY progression for #Alpha (variant) a year ago.

Underlying methods (applied to #Alpha and #Delta) described here: https://t.co/JxFz94vVHj pic.twitter.com/eR5qaQUAQj

— Peter R. Hansen (@ProfPHansen) December 11, 2021

Regional data on percentage of probable Omicron cases (by SGTF) for specimens taken on 8th December
by NHS region

London 34% (40-55% in some Boroughs)
East of England 13%
South East 12%
North West 12%
South West 8%
West Midlands 6%
Yorkshire and Humber 4%
North East 2%

— Alastair Grant (@AlastairGrant4) December 11, 2021

rumbeando wrote:ECDC kaže da od potvrđenih slučajeva niko nije umro dosad u EU/EEA i da su svi slučajevi za koje su dostupne informacije bili asimptomatski ili blagi.
  

All cases for which there is available information on severity were either asymptomatic or mild. There have been no Omicron-related deaths reported thus far. These figures should be assessed with caution, as the number of confirmed cases is too low to understand if the disease clinical spectrum of Omicron differs from that of previously detected variants.

Country/Region: EU/EEA Total
Confirmed cases: 732

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/epidemiological-update-omicron-variant-concern-voc-data-11-december-2021
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@DFisman we are already seeing this in our daily SPARSEQ runs in the @uhn @SinaiHealth labs. Yesterday 8%. Doubling time consistent with 2.5-3 days. It won’t take long to know if that’s right….

— Brad Wouters (@bradwouters) December 10, 2021

15% today. On track for 10,000 cases of Omicron per day in Ontario by end of December https://t.co/LekAgWcimh

— Brad Wouters (@bradwouters) December 11, 2021

COVID-19: Omicron cases now being treated in hospital, cabinet minister Nadhim Zahawi tells Sky News https://t.co/bBEMDXUoUr

— Sky News (@SkyNews) December 12, 2021

NSW Health on Sunday announced the first Omicron admission to hospital in Australia since the variant landed in late November.

There were another 10 confirmed cases of the new strain identified in the 24 hours to 8pm last night, taking the total number of Omicron cases in NSW to 55.