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    a future to believe in

    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Wed Feb 13, 2019 11:54 pm

    ma čak ni to nije problem, nego to laganica tvrđenje uzročnosti. jbt tako možeš da kažeš da je invazija Iraka bila prost demokratski odraz volje birača. cenim da je Sadam još od prvog zalivskog rata prilično loše stajao kod američkog birača, a tek da vidiš tamo 2002-3 što mu je opala popularnost... Čejni, reaguj!
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:02 am

    Djamolidine Abdoujaparov wrote:ima valjda nekog terena između toga i antisemitske konspirologije. mislim, odakle početi. da bi se ovako nešto tvrdilo treba potpuno da se zanemari informisanost tog biračkog tela a tu valjda nije sporno da su komercijalni mediji u Americi debelo pristrasni u korist Izraela. ili je i to odraz volje birača?
    to je jedan od glavnih razloga, Ameri su žešće pro-izraelski nastrojeni. a komercijalni mediji u značajnoj meri prate predrasude i prohteve svojih gledalaca, u manjoj meri usmeravaju javno mnjenje. pa umesto vesti dobijamo infozabavu.

    pri tome, valja imati na umu da nesrazmeran uticaj uvek imaju ljudi kojima je određeno pitanje jako bitno. ljudi kojima je Izrael od životnog značaja su jevanđelisti. njih je pun đavo.

    edit:
    More white evangelicals than American Jews say God gave Israel to the Jewish people
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:18 am

    pa ta briga za izrael a i za ceo middle east kao temu je par ekselans primer čiste interesne konstrukcije elita na vlasti, bez ikakvog praktičnog dodira sa nečim što se razumno može oceniti kao interes američke javnosti. posle decenija medijskog prepariranja nećemo valjda reći "eto, narod tako hoće"? hoće, ali je doveden u tu poziciju, utreniran, naviknut na priču, samo se prihranjuje.
    Erős Pista

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    Post by Erős Pista Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:26 am

    Gargantua wrote:pa ta briga za izrael a i za ceo middle east kao temu je par ekselans primer čiste interesne konstrukcije elita na vlasti, bez ikakvog praktičnog dodira sa nečim što se razumno može oceniti kao interes američke javnosti. posle decenija medijskog prepariranja nećemo valjda reći "eto, narod tako hoće"? hoće, ali je doveden u tu poziciju, utreniran, naviknut na priču, samo se prihranjuje.

    +1000


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    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:36 am

    Gargantua wrote:pa ta briga za izrael a i za ceo middle east kao temu je par ekselans primer čiste interesne konstrukcije elita na vlasti, bez ikakvog praktičnog dodira sa nečim što se razumno može oceniti kao interes američke javnosti. posle decenija medijskog prepariranja nećemo valjda reći "eto, narod tako hoće"? hoće, ali je doveden u tu poziciju, utreniran, naviknut na priču, samo se prihranjuje.
    a future to believe in - Page 23 Sympathies-more-israel-more-arab-lrg
    Erős Pista

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    Post by Erős Pista Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:40 am

    Grafici! Sve je jasno.


    _____
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    Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:53 am

    William Murderface wrote:Grafici! Sve je jasno.
    moguće je da je već tamo negde '50-ih krenulo medijsko prepariranje. reklo bi se da prilično uspešno piči do danas.

    alternativna objašnjenja su dosadna: simpatični David kontra Golijata, veliki broj Amera su malkice islamofobični, Izraelci deluju umivenije i lepše, jevanđelisti se primili na drugi dolazak Spasitelja...


    Last edited by Gargamel on Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:56 am; edited 1 time in total
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:56 am

    Ne treba izbaciti iz vida sudjanja nacistima tokom 60tih i posledice medijskih praćenja i rasprava kojima su rezultirali. Sigurno jedan deo mozaika.
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:58 am

    KinderLad wrote:Ne treba izbaciti iz vida sudjanja nacistima tokom 60tih i posledice medijskih praćenja i rasprava kojima su rezultirali. Sigurno jedan deo mozaika.
    + filmovi i serije o Holokaustu.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Thu Feb 14, 2019 1:28 am

    Mislim, ja ne poričem propagandu, to bi bilo van pameti, kao i poricanje finansijskog uticaja određenih krugova, ali razlika je tolika da to nije dovoljno objašnjenje. Ima ovo što sam pomenuo, ali ima i to da su oštriji stavovi prema izraelu realno čedo mnogo više levice nego desnice (za razliku recimo od antisemitizma, naravno), a klasična levica je bogami u US, posebno u to doba, bila mnogo slabija nego u evropi na primer.
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Thu Feb 14, 2019 2:01 am

    KinderLad wrote:Mislim, ja ne poričem propagandu, to bi bilo van pameti, kao i poricanje finansijskog uticaja određenih krugova, ali razlika je tolika da to nije dovoljno objašnjenje.
    dve lobističke grupe čiji se uticaj debelo preuveličava su AIPAC i NRA. imaju oni uticaja, ali se često preteruje.

    паће

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    Post by паће Thu Feb 14, 2019 9:34 am

    beatakeshi wrote:Teško je ne biti ciničan i ne spomenuti široko poznatu neinformisanost (nat)prosečnog Amerikanca o bilo kakvim činjenicama koje se tiču vanameričkog podneblja.

    Отприлике 2% Амера има неког појма о томе шта се догађа у остатку света. Преосталих 98% зна да то постоји али не уме да га нађе на мапи.

    Gargantua wrote:pa ta briga za izrael a i za ceo middle east kao temu je par ekselans primer čiste interesne konstrukcije elita na vlasti, bez ikakvog praktičnog dodira sa nečim što se razumno može oceniti kao interes američke javnosti. posle decenija medijskog prepariranja nećemo valjda reći "eto, narod tako hoće"? hoće, ali je doveden u tu poziciju, utreniran, naviknut na priču, samo se prihranjuje.

    Један од главних аргумената за напад на Ирак је било оних 6 резолуција УН које је Ирак кршио. У том тренутку је Израел по истом питању прешао 60, а Џо Кју Сикспек није имао појма о томе.

    Сретао сам и људе који су озбиљно веровали да Фо Њуз обавештава "поштено и уравнотежено".


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    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Thu Feb 14, 2019 10:42 am

    Oko US i Izraela treba istaći dve crte. Prva je stvorena neposredno posle rata, efekti Holokausta, izbeglica, počeci ozbiljnijeg rada raznih grupa i udruženja i početak formiranja "judeo-evangelističkog saveza" (u nedostatku bolje reči). To su kasne '40-e i '50-e. Druga je spoljna politika SAD koja se sa Izraelom zbližava tek od kraja '60-ih. Do tada su odnosi bili prijatelsjki ali suzdržani, a Amerika je sporadično delovala na BI (npr Liban 1958). Do Šestodnevnog rata 1967. glavni "sponzor" Izraela, glavni izvor vojne tehnike i nuklearne tehnologije je bila - Francuska. To počinje da se menja u periodu nakon tog rata i puniji izraz dobija sa Kisindžerom tokom Jom Kipur rata. Ali bitan element te priče je i sovjetska uloga u Egiptu nakon poraza Arapa 1967. i Amerika je imala i taj razlog da se jače umeša. Kasnije se odnos nadograđivao, ugovor o slobodnoj trgovini je porpisan sredinom '80-ih, rast američke desnice je "biblijski" "pojašnjavao" bitnost Izraela u kontekstu složene američke politike na BI, mediji su to pratili, pa, logično, i narod.


    ...

    Kad narod hoće medicare for all i visoke progresivne poreze onda je nepraktično i "vidi budale, jel znaju koliko to košta, pa to nikad neće proći kroz Kongres, ha-ha, vidi šta mu piše u paragrafu c na strani 456, jel zna ona da to ne može tako?", a ako narod "podržava Izrael" onda i političari - a šta bi drugo - "prate glas naroda". Cvrc.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:14 pm

    Na primeru Brexita i Trumpa (a i indyref2014) se ispostavlja da je  generalno greska pisanje 500 strana sa paragrafima
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Thu Feb 14, 2019 2:28 pm

    ed lus za ft:


    https://www.ft.com/content/1149a140-2fa4-11e9-8744-e7016697f225

    America’s unexpected socialist dawn
    Democrats embrace radical policies to create rare ideological debate in US politics

    Edward Luce AN HOUR AGO

    Anyone who thinks America’s populist moment has passed should think again. Donald Trump promised to make America great again. Half of the Democratic party now vows to make their country socialist for the first time. Much that is solid is melting into air. A few years ago, most Democrats were scared to call themselves liberal. Now they embrace socialism with abandon.

    It may end in tears. A defeat to Mr Trump in 2020 would deliver an early grave to America’s socialist dawn. Until then, however, US voters are catching a glimpse of something rare — a genuine ideological debate. It would be rash to predict the outcome.

    The chief exhibit is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s Green New Deal. By any measure, her bill is preposterously extravagant. On one estimate Ms Ocasio-Cortez’s proposed new entitlements and public works would cost $6.6tn a year, which is two-thirds larger again than America’s $4tn federal budget.

    Nothing like it has been seen. Moreover, Ms Ocasio-Cortez seems to have little idea how she would pay for it. Some say the bill would be self-funding because it would stimulate the economy. Others are punting on cost-free debt. According to modern monetary theory, governments can simply create new money without causing inflation.

    Few Democrats are yet concerned with such details. Having watched Mr Trump take office with his brand of magical thinking, they are following suit. It would be tempting to write it off as a lengthy suicide note. But that would underestimate America’s restlessness. Almost every Democratic presidential hopeful in the Senate — including Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, Elizabeth Warren and Kirsten Gillibrand — supports Ms Ocasio-Cortez’s resolution. It has turned into a litmus test of a candidate’s credentials. There are three reasons to take it seriously.

    The first is that the Green New Deal is already branded in the public’s mind. Just as Ms Ocasio-Cortez is known by her initials — AOC — her bill is already known by its shorthand, GND. Few politicians, or bills, make that distinction. Think of John F Kennedy (JFK) or Franklin Delano Roosevelt (FDR). The fact that a 29-year-old former bartender has gone from zero to ubiquitous abbreviation in a few months tells us something about America’s appetite for change. She is now the most influential figure in US politics after Mr Trump.

    Second, Ms Ocasio-Cortez’s resolution is a bold declaration of intent rather than a serious legislative proposal. Much as Mr Trump’s supporters were said to have taken him seriously but not literally, the same applies to the green deal. Those doing the accounting may be missing the point. Its aim is to shake up the US debate. By that measure it has already succeeded. The term “green” is no longer a lifestyle preference. It is a part of the economic calculus. Global warming and public investment are now linked in the popular mind.

    Third, Americans seem to crave a choice. There was a time when US elections could be caricatured as Coca-Cola versus Pepsi — incrementalist Democrats versus free-market Republicans. For the time being, such timidity is over. Mr Trump’s example has bred imitation. The choice now looks more like vodka versus supergreen juice. When politics is framed this starkly, there are few places to hide.

    Mr Trump sees green socialism as his chance of electoral salvation. Democrats want to take away your cars and your cows, he says. Moreover, they would force you to travel by train, which is the US equivalent of being sent to the gulags. If his instinct is right, Ms Ocasio-Cortez could become Mr Trump’s secret weapon. Forcing Democrats to vote on her bill is an opportunity Republicans will not pass up. A vote against it could damage a Democratic senator’s prospects with the party’s base. A vote in favour could make them unpalatable to a general electorate.

    History suggests Republicans have the tactical advantage. But what went before is not necessarily a useful guide. The past told us Mr Trump had little chance of taking his party’s nomination. Experts made the error of taking him literally but not seriously. Today, a majority of American millennials describe themselves as socialist. In practice, they are thinking of Scandinavia rather than Venezuela. Persuading them to turn out in higher numbers is the holy grail of Democratic politics. If Ms Ocasio-Cortez does that, she will have changed the climate of US politics.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:30 pm

    A defeat to Mr Trump in 2020 would

    polako...
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Fri Feb 15, 2019 5:21 pm

    Gargantua wrote:It may end in tears. A defeat to Mr Trump in 2020 would deliver an early grave to America’s socialist dawn. Until then, however, US voters are catching a glimpse of something rare — a genuine ideological debate.
    ideološka debata između ljudi koji nešto znaju i mladih lavova koji samouvereno ne znaju ništa (Sanders nešto zna, ali ne spada u mlade lavove). divota je to gledati. mislim... lepo bi bilo da se demokratska stranka pomeri ulevo, lepše bi bilo kada bi ljudi koji to guraju imali nešto u glavi.


    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/new-york-politicians-odds-over-amazon-s-decision-pull-out-n971741
    "If we’re willing to give away $3 billion for this deal, we could invest those $3 billion in our district ourselves if we wanted to. We could hire out more teachers, we can fix our subways. We can put a lot of people to work for that money if we wanted to," Ocasio-Cortez said from Capitol Hill Thursday.

    tih 3 milijarde su takse koje NYC ne bi naplatio.
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Fri Feb 15, 2019 6:28 pm

    u narednih 50 godina je potpuno nemoguće da se išta u usa ppomeri ulevo

    posle nije ni bitno, mada mislim da je i sada kasno
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Fri Feb 15, 2019 6:33 pm

    Полако, мислили смо и да је Трамп немогућ.
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Fri Feb 15, 2019 7:50 pm

    Mr. Moonlight wrote:u narednih 50 godina je potpuno nemoguće da se išta u usa ppomeri ulevo
    pomera se, pitanje je koliko daleko može da ide. šta ima smisla, šta može da prođe, šta bi bilo suludo i pokušati...

    ovih dana, Trampove muke demonstriraju da su američki Founding Fathers bili vanredno sposobni i učeni ljudi. pa se svaki predsednik suočava sa značajnim ograničenjima, što će biti slučaj i sa narednim demokratskim predsednikom koji (inšala!) bude izabran u novembru 2019.
    Erős Pista

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    Post by Erős Pista Sun Feb 17, 2019 12:33 pm

    https://www.politico.com/story/2019/02/16/bernie-sanders-2020-1173339


    _____
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    Ferenc Puskás

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    Post by Ferenc Puskás Sun Feb 17, 2019 1:54 pm

    Bernie se sprema kao da će sutra biti rat.


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    Filipenko

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    Post by Filipenko Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:12 pm

    Mislis, naredjuje da zene u njegovom izbornom stabu budu silovane?
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:48 pm

    Gargamel wrote:
    Gargantua wrote:It may end in tears. A defeat to Mr Trump in 2020 would deliver an early grave to America’s socialist dawn. Until then, however, US voters are catching a glimpse of something rare — a genuine ideological debate.
    ideološka debata između ljudi koji nešto znaju i mladih lavova koji samouvereno ne znaju ništa (Sanders nešto zna, ali ne spada u mlade lavove). divota je to gledati. mislim... lepo bi bilo da se demokratska stranka pomeri ulevo, lepše bi bilo kada bi ljudi koji to guraju imali nešto u glavi.


    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/new-york-politicians-odds-over-amazon-s-decision-pull-out-n971741
    "If we’re willing to give away $3 billion for this deal, we could invest those $3 billion in our district ourselves if we wanted to. We could hire out more teachers, we can fix our subways. We can put a lot of people to work for that money if we wanted to," Ocasio-Cortez said from Capitol Hill Thursday.

    tih 3 milijarde su takse koje NYC ne bi naplatio.
    Alexandria Occasional-Cortex, a Gargamele?

    a future to believe in - Page 23 Tenor

    ne mora ona dume u policy, to ćete vi wonkovi da izwonkujete, nek tera ideologiju i nek pomera Overtonov prozor, šta ćeš više.

    btw, šta misliš o Mearsheimeru & Waltu, tj. o knjizi?
    Gargamel

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    Post by Gargamel Tue Feb 19, 2019 3:01 am

    Djamolidine Abdoujaparov wrote:Alexandria Occasional-Cortex, a Gargamele?
    nisam to video ranije. ja ne mislim da je žena glupa. morala bi da bude bolje obaveštena, što je posao savetnika i ljudi oko nje.

    pri tome, to kako ona može da lupa šta joj drago, i da ostane živa... to može da fercera neko vreme, dok su joj pro-dem mediji još uvek spremni da progledaju kroz prste.

    btw, šta misliš o Mearsheimeru & Waltu, tj. o knjizi?
    dve teze u knjizi. prva je da je bezrezervna podrška Izraelu prilično loša varijanta, i to stoji. druga teza ne drži vodu - izraelski lobi nije gurnuo Amere u irački rat. Buš, Čejni, Ramsfeld, Pauel, su bili motivisani stvarima koje su imale neke veze sa Izraelom, ali su drugi faktori bili u igri.

    to ne znači da pro-izraelski lobi nije uticajan, već da se uticaj preuveličava. par puta se desilo da su interesi američke administracije bili u koliziji sa željama pro-izraelskog lobija, i potonji su izgubili. npr. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/US-Saudi_Arabia_AWACS_Sale

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