USA - США - SAD

Sox wrote:Do sada je izaslo 5 istrazivanja u periodu 21-23.7.2024

U svim vodi Tramp 1-7% u poslednjem, jucerasnjem, CNN, Tramp 3%, istrazivanje 22-23.7.2024.
U jednom  vodi Kamala, i to je Rojters-Ipsos, samo je problem u tom istrazivanju sto je 20% vide demokrata ukljuceno u donosu na republikance.

Ali videli smo da istrazivanja mogu da omase onoliko puta. Ja osecam da ce Kamala da razvali.

Vilmos Tehenészfiú wrote:

disident wrote:

Isti vajb
https://www.kurir.rs/vesti/politika/4419165/srbija-ostvarila-neverovatne-brojke-ovako-izgleda-skok-u-buducnost-evo-kako-se-kretala-prosecna-zarada-poslednjih-godina-foto

Ima stelovanja, ali tamo gde nije ocigledno. Za inflaciju ne mogu da steluju brojke, za nezaposlenost vec mogu.

Ima vec duze vremena da white collar kompanije objavljuju oglase za posao a ne zaposljavaju nikoga, niti da radna mesta postoje. Zasto se to radi je veliko pitanje na koje ja nemam odgovor, ali posledica toga da je oko 50% poslova koji se mogu naci na internetu fejk je da ti poslovi ulaze u statistiku koja radi po prinicipu gledamo koliko ljudi je izgubilo posao ovog meseca i koliko se novih radnih mesta otvorilo, pa racunamo net razlku i onda kazemo kolika je nezaposlenost. Ali ako je 50% oglasenih poslova fejk, onda ta statistika pokazuje nerealno nisku nezaposlenost.

Bizarno je da je situacija slicna i u blue colar industriji. Moja poznanica mesecima ne moze da nadje posao sefa smene u restoranu iako oglasa za takve poslove u lokalu ima onoliko, a nezaposlenost je zvanicno niska, valjda 4% ili slicno. Drugi primer je za kompanije koja se bavi printovanjem flajera, menija za restorane i slicno. Jedna druga osoba koju poznajem je poslala CV na oko 100 oglasa, bila pozvana na 5 razgovora i dobila 1 ponudu koja je bila dosta manja od plate koju je imala na slicnom poslu pre toga. Tako da... ima oko nezaposlenosti stelovanja brojki onoliko.

Del Cap wrote:

Vilmos Tehenészfiú wrote:


Ima vec duze vremena da white collar kompanije objavljuju oglase za posao a ne zaposljavaju nikoga, niti da radna mesta postoje. Zasto se to radi je veliko pitanje na koje ja nemam odgovor, ali posledica toga da je oko 50% poslova koji se mogu naci na internetu fejk je da ti poslovi ulaze u statistiku koja radi po prinicipu gledamo koliko ljudi je izgubilo posao ovog meseca i koliko se novih radnih mesta otvorilo, pa racunamo net razlku i onda kazemo kolika je nezaposlenost. Ali ako je 50% oglasenih poslova fejk, onda ta statistika pokazuje nerealno nisku nezaposlenost.

Setih se teksta od pre par godina:

https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2019/11/the-real-class-war/

...
The socioeconomic divide that will determine the future of poli­tics, particularly in the United States, is not between the top 30 per­cent or 10 percent and the rest, nor even between the 1 percent and the 99 percent. The real class war is between the 0.1 percent and (at most) the 10 percent—or, more precisely, between elites primarily dependent on capital gains and those primarily dependent on profes­sional labor.

The last few years have brought about a new “discovery” of working-class immiseration—a media phenomenon arguably pro­voked by renewed elite anxieties. As a result, the story of a declining working class is now broadly understood. It is, after all, decades old, and it was entirely predictable if not exactly intended. Much less understood, however, is the more recent reshaping and radicalization of the professional managerial class. While the top 5 or 10 percent may not deserve public sympathy, their underperformance relative to the top 0.1 percent will be more politically significant than the hol­lowing out of the working or lower-middle classes. Unlike the work­ing class, the professional managerial class is still capable of, and re­quired for, wielding political power.
...
Lost amid the celebrations of the “information economy” in recent decades is the fact that elite career trajectories are no longer what they used to be. The performance gap of elites versus the working and middle classes has widened, but professionals outside the very top are unlikely to match the wealth accumulation of their parents.
...
Meanwhile, the costs of maintaining elite status—and passing it on to one’s children—have risen disproportionately for the top 5 or 10 percent. The ongoing decline of the middle and working classes may have reinforced the top 10 percent’s sense of elite status, but it also means that any backsliding would be catastrophic. These pressures have converged in two key areas in particular: real estate and education.
...
What is remarkable about today’s oligarchy is not its ruthlessness but its pettiness and purposelessness. An all-consuming megalomania might at least produce some great art as a side-effect. But this collec­tion of mediocrities cannot even do that. Their political activities—whether pushing for a slightly lower tax rate or throwing money at a self-serving brand of faux progressivism—are too small-minded to be anything other than embarrassing. This class has no idea what to do with its wealth, much less the power that results from it. It can only withdraw and extract, socially and economically, while the political justifications for its existence melt away.

Ultimately, the question that will determine the future of American politics is whether the rest of the elite will consent to their contin­ued proletarianization only to further enrich this pathetic oli­garchy. If they do, future historians of American collapse will find something truly exceptional: capitalism without competence and feu­dalism with­out nobility.