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by rumbeando Sun May 14, 2023 9:30 pmCousin Billy wrote:CHP daje Kiličdaroluu više od 49% sada.
To su neke fantazije.
Anka je sad na 87% i ne daje ništa slično.
https://halktv.com.tr/secim-2023
Last edited by rumbeando on Sun May 14, 2023 9:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
Tursko leto - strukture saraja
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To su neke fantazije.
Anka je sad na 87% i ne daje ništa slično.
https://halktv.com.tr/secim-2023
Last edited by rumbeando on Sun May 14, 2023 9:33 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Kojom metodologijom ponderises rezultate bez uvida u procente prebrojanih glasova po birackim mestima?
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Ponderiše se onim čime raspolažeš.
Svakako je bolje ponderisati prebrojanim udelom mesta nego ničim.
I da ne ponderišeš, po jednima je na 50,03, a po drugima na 48,5, sredina između ta dva je 49,26.
Odstupanje od toga može da bude najviše 0,1 ili 0,2 procentna poena.
Svakako je bolje ponderisati prebrojanim udelom mesta nego ničim.
I da ne ponderišeš, po jednima je na 50,03, a po drugima na 48,5, sredina između ta dva je 49,26.
Odstupanje od toga može da bude najviše 0,1 ili 0,2 procentna poena.
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Istina je negde u sredini.
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"Burundi je svakako sharmantno mesto cinika i knjiskih ljudi koji gledaju stvar sa svog olimpa od kartona."
“Here he was then, cruising the deserts of Mexico in my Ford Torino with my wife and my credit cards and his black-tongued dog. He had a chow dog that went everywhere with him, to the post office and ball games, and now that red beast was making free with his lion feet on my Torino seats.”
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ne treba lomiti preko kolena jer jutro je pametnije od veceri
Dosta birackih mesta gde su rezultati losi za Erdogana jos nisu ubacena u rezultate zbog raznih prigovora. Ne znam kojom magijom se to moze isponderisati(tm).
Dosta birackih mesta gde su rezultati losi za Erdogana jos nisu ubacena u rezultate zbog raznih prigovora. Ne znam kojom magijom se to moze isponderisati(tm).
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Pao ispod 50% po Anadoliji. Po Anki je na 48,9. Biće dakle na 49,4 ili tu negde.
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Levi grafik je kretanje rezultata koje je Anadolija objavljivala - Erdoganovi glasovi idu opadajućim redosledom.
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Vladajući AKP i MHP zbirno na 320 od mogućih 600 po obe projekcije trenutno.
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Obama bukvalno nista nije znao da uradi kako treba.
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ako je erdogan ispod 50 da li se ide u drugi krug
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
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da
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boomer crook wrote:ako je erdogan ispod 50 da li se ide u drugi krug
Da, ali sanse za smenu su minimalne
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Cousin Billy wrote:Jbt Erdoganova Turska je funkcionalna demokratija za nas
Malo si potrčao...
More evidence on the reporting that there’s a systematic effort to hold up the ballot boxes in which KK is ahead. Below is Ankara’s Cankaya district, which traditionally votes CHP. This is apparently the 11th recount — meaning the data here not added to the big picture. https://t.co/hPPIwIAKm4
— Hümeyra Pamuk (@humeyra_pamuk) May 14, 2023
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Anka na 98,24% prebrojanih mesta kaže da je Erdogan na 49,24%, a Kiličdaroglu na 45,04%.
https://halktv.com.tr/secim-2023
https://halktv.com.tr/secim-2023
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There are a lot of disinformation about the Turkey elections vote count. Let me explain, bear with me
— Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) May 14, 2023
1- Votes are counted in individual polling stations and each party get the results and submit them to their own database
2- Then the bags full of ballots carried to districts
5- That’s why opposition leaning Anka news agency is able to publish data for the 97.8 percent of the ballot boxes, because the information is directly coming from the polling stations, the first stage where the parties collect their initial results.
— Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) May 14, 2023
8- And that’s why you have people carrying bags of ballots are waiting outside the Provincial Electoral Board in Diyarbakir
— Ragıp Soylu (@ragipsoylu) May 14, 2023
9- There would be ultimate objections which will be remedied in the next five days
ENDS
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Opoziciona novinska agencija Anka prebrojala je 99,2% mesta, rezultat je 49:45.
Onion je naravno pogrešan mašinski prevod, u pitanju je Sinan Ogan.
https://halktv.com.tr/secim-2023
Onion je naravno pogrešan mašinski prevod, u pitanju je Sinan Ogan.
https://halktv.com.tr/secim-2023
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Kiličdaroglu:
https://halktv.com.tr/siyaset/kilicdaroglu-bloke-ettiginiz-turkiyenin-iradesidir-itirazlarla-olacagi-739264hMy dear people, they block the system with repeated objections at the ballot boxes where our votes are high. For example, there are persistent objections to 300 ballot boxes in Ankara and 783 ballot boxes in Istanbul. There are ballot boxes objected to 6 times, ballot boxes objected 11 times. What you block is the will of Turkey. You cannot prevent it from happening with objections. We will never let this thing turn into a fait accompli. Stop messing around with perception management. This matter is serious. Let the votes come, the result will be known as soon as possible. The country can no longer tolerate uncertainty. Do not be afraid of the will of the people. I invite the YSK to responsibility. We have wet signed minutes. Don't let the public be distracted. I repeat, do not block the will of this nation. I am calling out to our democracy workers on the field. Never leave the ballot boxes and election boards.
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ajmo turkiye 5.oktobar sad ili nikad
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#FreeFacu
Дакле, волео бих да се ЈСД Партизан угаси, али не и да сви (или било који) гробар умре.
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Obe agencije sad kažu da je rezultat 49,25 : 45,05/45,06. Vladajući imaju 322 poslanika od 600.
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Here is Erdogan on the “balcony” at AKP headquarters, saying while the results are not yet clear, he is ahead. Bit later says that he believes he will win in the first round. pic.twitter.com/rjUWozAJv5
— Hümeyra Pamuk (@humeyra_pamuk) May 14, 2023
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Turnout was very high as usual, even slightly higher this time at 89%.
— Emre Akcakmak (@akcakmak) May 15, 2023
No major cheating claims so far.
What determined the race seem to be the nationalistic rhetoric rather than the economy, freedoms etc.
Erdogan based his campaign on anti-PKK, anti-FETO rhetoric.
For second round, Erdogan now has one more advantage: he has the majority in the parliament with AKP+MHP 318, plus YRP 322 deputies, ie >50%.
— Emre Akcakmak (@akcakmak) May 15, 2023
What's worse for the opposition is that the leaders will NOT even be in the parliament.
Horrible news if oppo loses in the 2nd round.
Opposition will need a miracle to win in the second round.
— Emre Akcakmak (@akcakmak) May 15, 2023
Momentum is lost, so that needs to be restored first.
Turnout has to go up.
Ogan (5%) has to provide full support.
Still not impossible, but difficult..
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Textbook primer izborne autokratije. Sami izbori su uglavnom ok, sve ostalo katastrofa, mnogo gore stvari nego u Srbji se desavaju.
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sta su mnogo gore stvari nego u srbiji
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#FreeFacu
Дакле, волео бих да се ЈСД Партизан угаси, али не и да сви (или било који) гробар умре.
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Ubijanja, hapsenja, zatvaranje neta.
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Хапшења и затварања нета има и код нас.
Нема ни у Турској убијања политичких противника високог нивоа (вође политичких партија и главоње) али зато обичан човек може да заглави на дуготрајну робију само због својих ставова, исто као и код нас. Кад немају шта друго, напакују ти лудницу, држе по 6 месеци у њој без одлуке суда.
Нема ни у Турској убијања политичких противника високог нивоа (вође политичких партија и главоње) али зато обичан човек може да заглави на дуготрајну робију само због својих ставова, исто као и код нас. Кад немају шта друго, напакују ти лудницу, држе по 6 месеци у њој без одлуке суда.
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Burundi is an exception among other nations because it is a country which gave God first place, a God who guards and protects from all misfortune.
Burundi... opskurno udruženje 20ak levičarskih intelektualaca, kojima je fetiš odbrana poniženih i uvredjenih.
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