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by Nektivni Ugnelj Fri Dec 31, 2021 8:54 pmPre (skoro) tačno godinu dana 1 osoba je rekla - bar ulazimo u godinu u kojoj će se završiti pandemija...
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Mór Thököly wrote:Pre (skoro) tačno godinu dana 1 osoba je rekla - bar ulazimo u godinu u kojoj će se završiti pandemija...
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Join date : 2016-10-04
Тад се први пут зачула фрула у позадини.Cousin Billy wrote:Pre tačno dve godine, zdravstvena služba grada Vuhana objavila je kominike o 27 slučajeva virusne upale pluća, od kojih je 7 sa teškom kliničkom slikom.
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Prosečan nevakcinisani primljen na intenzivnu zbog kovida u periodu od maja do decembra bio je 14 godina mlađi od prosečnog vakcinisanog (50 vs 64 godine). Primljeni vakcinisani su daleko češće bili imunokompromitovani i imali teške komorbiditete.
https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/Attachments/Download/c769c2dc-546a-ec11-913a-00505601089b (strane 45 i 48)
ICNARC report on COVID-19 in critical care: England, Wales and Northern Ireland 31 December 2021
Figure 26. Rate of admission to critical care with confirmed COVID-19 by vaccination status for patients admitted 1 May 2021 to 15 December 2021
Prosečan nevakcinisani primljen na intenzivnu zbog kovida u periodu od maja do decembra bio je 14 godina mlađi od prosečnog vakcinisanog (50 vs 64 godine). Primljeni vakcinisani su daleko češće bili imunokompromitovani i imali teške komorbiditete.
https://www.icnarc.org/DataServices/Attachments/Download/c769c2dc-546a-ec11-913a-00505601089b (strane 45 i 48)
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Novi britanski dokument s procenama omikrona kaže da je efektivnost 3 doze vakcina (2 x AZ/Fajzer + Fajzer/Moderna kao buster) protiv hospitalizacije 88% i da je rizik od hospitalizacije kod omikrona otprilike trećina onog kod delte.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1044481/Technical-Briefing-31-Dec-2021-Omicron_severity_update.pdf
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1044481/Technical-Briefing-31-Dec-2021-Omicron_severity_update.pdf
2. Updated Vaccine Effectiveness analysis
— Meaghan Kall (@kallmemeg) December 31, 2021
Shows that while protection against *infection* starts to wane quickly for Omicron (from 4-9 weeks post-booster :syringe:)
Protection from *hospitalisation* is high 88%. We know from Tcell studies it is unlikely to wane so quickly pic.twitter.com/wXtEzvxRY1
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zaključajte topik barem do ponedeljka, valja se
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#FreeFacu
Дакле, волео бих да се ЈСД Партизан угаси, али не и да сви (или било који) гробар умре.
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Join date : 2016-02-01
U regionu oko Kopenhagena u Danskoj hospitalizacije zbog kovida (crno) manje-više stagniraju, dok su hospitalizacije s kovidom postale znatno češće (razlika između crvenog i crnog, pošto je crveno ukupan broj hospitalizacija):
https://twitter.com/TracyBethHoeg/status/1476582612806209537
U Londonu rastu i hospitalizacije zbog kovida - crvena boja - i hospitalizacije iz drugih razloga kod kojih je na prijemu ili tokom boravka u bolnici slučajno pronađen kovid (incidentne) - plava boja:
https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1476975074926379010
https://twitter.com/TracyBethHoeg/status/1476582612806209537
U Londonu rastu i hospitalizacije zbog kovida - crvena boja - i hospitalizacije iz drugih razloga kod kojih je na prijemu ili tokom boravka u bolnici slučajno pronađen kovid (incidentne) - plava boja:
https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1476975074926379010
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Ipak, na intenzivnim negama u Londonu je druga situacija:
https://www.ft.com/content/3d2c5e38-a9aa-47a5-b8f2-2ed5c7407d7a
https://www.ft.com/content/3d2c5e38-a9aa-47a5-b8f2-2ed5c7407d7a
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Zaražavanje je inače baš masovno: poslednja procena je da se u Britaniji 2,3 miliona ljudi bilo zaraženo prošle nedelje, tj. svaki 25. u Engleskoj, svaki 15. u Londonu, a otprilike svaki 40. u Škotskoj, Velsu i S. Irskoj.
https://www.ft.com/content/3d2c5e38-a9aa-47a5-b8f2-2ed5c7407d7aMore than 2m people in the UK were infected with coronavirus last week, according to the latest official figures, causing a jump in staff absences in the health service and fast-rising admissions to hospitals.
Data from the Office for National Statistics, released on Friday, revealed that in the week ending December 23 nearly 2.3m people across the UK had the virus.
In England, the rate was one in every 25 people, up from one in 45 a week earlier, while London had the highest rate, at one in 15 residents. The comparable rates in the devolved nations [Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland] were each about one in 40.
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ja znam pet porodica u kraju koje trenutno imaju bar jednu osobu zarazenu. a nije da sam isla okolo i proveravala.
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Warning: may contain irony.
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Join date : 2014-10-29
rumbeando wrote:U regionu oko Kopenhagena u Danskoj hospitalizacije zbog kovida (crno) manje-više stagniraju, dok su hospitalizacije s kovidom postale znatno češće (razlika između crvenog i crnog, pošto je crveno ukupan broj hospitalizacija):
https://twitter.com/TracyBethHoeg/status/1476582612806209537
U Londonu rastu i hospitalizacije zbog kovida - crvena boja - i hospitalizacije iz drugih razloga kod kojih je na prijemu ili tokom boravka u bolnici slučajno pronađen kovid (incidentne) - plava boja:
https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/1476975074926379010
rumbeando wrote:Ipak, na intenzivnim negama u Londonu je druga situacija:
https://www.ft.com/content/3d2c5e38-a9aa-47a5-b8f2-2ed5c7407d7a
ovo su dobre vesti, ne? omikron prosto zarazava kao lud pa je vise ljudi koji dolaze u bolnicu nevezano za kovid pozitivno (sto se otkrije jer se pretpostavljam svako ko dodje u bolnicu testira), ali je klinicka slika samog kovida blaza (manje hospitalizacija).
(ja cekam da neko proglasi kraj pandemije i pocetak obicne prehlade, bar za dobro vakcinisane populacije, jer stvarno mi nije dobro od ovog zivota on hold vise)
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you cannot simply trust a language model when it tells you how it feels
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danas imamo više slučajeva od vas (1800 vs 1600) #lideruregijonu
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Join date : 2017-11-16
Tako cemo i mi otici na 20000 za 10 dana.
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Join date : 2014-10-27
ne posto necemo testirati one s blazim simptomima.
that said: kako si maco?
that said: kako si maco?
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
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Join date : 2017-11-16
Pa dobro, to ce biti realna cifra
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Join date : 2014-10-28
okej sam, mada mi je dosadilo, nadala sam se da će proći do sada ali i dalje mi je zapušen nos i živim na kapima. to mi je jedini simptomboomer crook wrote:that said: kako si maco?
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most of us probably not getting better
but not getting better together
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Join date : 2012-06-10
Isto bilo kod mene prosle nedelje.
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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."
Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
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http://www.nspm.rs/hronika/predrag-kon-maske-nikad-necemo-skinuti.-nosicemo-ih-i-u-2022-ali-ne-samo-zbog-koronavirusa.html
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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."
Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
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Ma kakvih crnih 5-6 hiljada... Jedino ako zna da je vrh odlucio da je to maksimum koji ce obznanjivati javnosti.
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Join date : 2016-02-01
False binaries are harmful, and don’t lead to good reasoning 2/https://t.co/lSZAYzdAXM
— Rachel Thomas (@math_rachel) January 1, 2022
(your regular reminder: "mild" covid can still involve damage to the vascular, immune, & central nervous systems) 4/
— Rachel Thomas (@math_rachel) January 1, 2022
Not everyone's immune systems will be able to take the repeated hits. In a population, getting covid 1x (on average) over the next 2 years vs. 3x (on average) over next 2 years is likely to result in significant differences in how many end up permanently disabled. 6/
— Rachel Thomas (@math_rachel) January 1, 2022
Adults deserve to be told the truth. Too much public health messaging about covid has been infantilizing, patronizing, & flat-out inaccurate. 8/https://t.co/v3xqOxloHo
— Rachel Thomas (@math_rachel) January 1, 2022
The intervention (vaccines) changed our goal. Vaccines are great at reducing hospitalization & death, but not at reducing transmission. But "mild" cases can still result in long-permanent disability, so reducing transmission remains crucial 10/https://t.co/2zGksPttGY
— Rachel Thomas (@math_rachel) January 1, 2022
Here are some ideas about additional things we could be doing to slow the spread of omicron 12/https://t.co/5OOW7eUeCj
— Rachel Thomas (@math_rachel) January 1, 2022
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Join date : 2017-11-16
Ljudi ne shvataju da je ogromna razlika ako se nagutas 500k cestica (ok, preterujem namerno) i ako se razbolis zato sto si pojeo 150 cestica i razboleo se. To je razlika da li si nosio masku i izbegavao druzenja ili nisi. Vakcinisan si, pokupio si negde usput malu kolicinu, dovoljno da se razbolis, ali vrlo blago, ne stigne ti do srca, bubrega, itd. To je jedno. 3 sata bez maske sa zarazenim u prostoriji 3x4 metra je nesto sasvim drugo.
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Join date : 2012-06-10
Pa uopste se slabo kapira onaj slojeviti pristup.sve mere imaju smisla, narocito ako se primenjuju u kombinaciji. Nijedna nije svemovna, ni sve zajdeno nisu, ali razlika moze biti ogromna, narocito na statistickom nivou.
Neverovatno je koliko ljudi to ne kapira. Sve je all or nothing. Ako mozes da se zarazis posle vakcine, sta ce ti vakcina to znaci da ne radi, itd.
Neverovatno je koliko ljudi to ne kapira. Sve je all or nothing. Ako mozes da se zarazis posle vakcine, sta ce ti vakcina to znaci da ne radi, itd.
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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."
Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
- Guest
da, ovih 500k su blickrig, invazija na francusku, a ovih 150 su dražini četnici
iz istorije znamo kako je šta prošlo
iz istorije znamo kako je šta prošlo
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Join date : 2016-02-01
(greška je u opisu u poslednjem redu, treba 60%, ne 40%)
Preliminary data from Puerto Rico suggest Omicron is about 40% as severe as Delta in terms of sending infected individuals to hospital. For children under 12 it appears just as severe.
— Rafael Irizarry (@rafalab) January 1, 2022
Graph compres the % hospitalized during surge dominated by delta to the current omicron one. pic.twitter.com/gwoPRMyeQt
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Why has @borisjohnson asked NHS trusts to:
— Rachel Clarke (@doctor_oxford) December 29, 2021
(1) Consider erecting tents in hospital carparks
(2) Review their mortuary capacity
While he does *nothing* to try & prevent the loss of life to come?
Not a single new public health measure.
Beyond beliefhttps://t.co/2TUZSa9jj8
If you're planning erecting tent hospitals in car parks while not doing anything to limit social interaction at New Year, you are culpable for any deaths that occur.
— Alex Tiffin (@RespectIsVital) December 30, 2021
Zadnje vreme došlo kad Telegraf od milošte zvan Torigraf kaže da je Džonson verovatno promašio svojom strategijom - "Zastrašujući novi kovid podaci pokazuju da će bi kockanje Borisa Džonson po pitanju omikrona moglo da se raspadne kao kula od karata":
THREAD 1/10
— Paul Nuki (@PaulNuki) January 1, 2022
I'm sorry to say it on New Year's Day, but I think there is a serious chance now that the UK government's omicron gamble is about to go tits up....https://t.co/j7NOG0kELi
3/ For hard numbers, look here: admissions are up 69% on the week - and that's before the fallout from xmas day mixing comes through. NE & Yorks is up 117% and Covid ICU bed occupancy is up 7% on the week https://t.co/VMzo0AnKMw pic.twitter.com/mA9sL2ZaDF
— Paul Nuki (@PaulNuki) January 1, 2022
5/ Its numbers for vax efficiency against hospitalisation (ie serious disease) are frankly dire for 2 shots. A booster works well but wanes quite quickly. pic.twitter.com/gH1mIQf7ca
— Paul Nuki (@PaulNuki) January 1, 2022
7/ The vax data may help explain why hospitalisations are outstripping the middle two scenarios of the @LSHTM model. If it's a fit you are after, you have to look to its most pessimistic projection, which is ugly... pic.twitter.com/ZmTdGGCyeF
— Paul Nuki (@PaulNuki) January 1, 2022
10/ Pls don't interpret this as a call for new restrictions. It's not. We are way past that must see how things play out. Let's just hope we don't land on black - again.
— Paul Nuki (@PaulNuki) January 1, 2022
Full analysis here. Free to read: https://t.co/j7NOG0kELi
(nije greška, autor nije postavio tvit 8)