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    Bela Rusija

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    Post by MNE Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:48 am

    ako je realno 43/45% onda ima veću podršku nego što sam mislio
    паће

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    Post by паће Tue Aug 25, 2020 10:50 am

    Ма и то ко зна из каквог узорка је исисано. Бројке не лажу, лаже онај што их је достављао.


    _____
       the more you drink, the W.C.
       И кажем себи у сну, еј бре коњу па ти ни немаш озвучење, имаш оне две кутијице око монитора, видећеш кад се пробудиш...
    ćaća

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    Post by ćaća Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:05 pm

    Jebite me slobodno, ali Lukašenko ima više od 45%. Tj. imao je tada.
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:13 pm

    Kad namestiš izbore, postaje nebitno koliko je ko glasova dobio, bitno je  samo ko bolje plasira svoju brojku.
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:40 pm

    Pritom, i ovo je bio namešten izbor pa bi i ovi rezultati bili iskrivljeni. Npr onaj Babarika je hapšen, pre toga mu je zabranjena registracija kao kandidata a daleko da je jedini takav (Cepkalo, Cihanovski itd); Lukašenko je muljanjem doterao izbore na "ili-ili" opciju, ceo proces je besmisleno nefer i nelegitiman.
    Sotir

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    Post by Sotir Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:43 pm

    ćaća wrote:Jebite me slobodno, ali Lukašenko ima više od 45%. Tj. imao je tada.
    Мени је тешко објашњиво да је опозиција могла да има 2,5 милиона гласова, а да због крађе изађе на улице мање од 100 хиљада људи (мање од 4% од наводног броја).

    Једна је ствар да су избори били нерегуларни (као што јесу), али да је за опозицију гласала већина - једноставно није.
    паће

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    Post by паће Tue Aug 25, 2020 1:49 pm

    Не верујем да апарат није имао неку процену колико би добио да је игралиште било равно, и колико би добила опозиција. То што су прибегли оваквом гажењу је мени довољан доказ да се не би усудили да изађу на изборе које не би сами наместили.


    _____
       the more you drink, the W.C.
       И кажем себи у сну, еј бре коњу па ти ни немаш озвучење, имаш оне две кутијице око монитора, видећеш кад се пробудиш...
    fikret selimbašić

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    Post by fikret selimbašić Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:19 pm

    Sotir wrote:
    ćaća wrote:Jebite me slobodno, ali Lukašenko ima više od 45%. Tj. imao je tada.
    Мени је тешко објашњиво да је опозиција могла да има 2,5 милиона гласова, а да због крађе изађе на улице мање од 100 хиљада људи (мање од 4% од наводног броја).

    Једна је ствар да су избори били нерегуларни (као што јесу), али да је за опозицију гласала већина - једноставно није.

    Možda je na broj okupljenih uticalo ono pendrečenje, hapšenja, vojska na ulicama...


    _____
    Međuopštinski pustolov.

    Zli stolar.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:20 pm

    Ma jok  Bela Rusija - Page 27 2304934895
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:23 pm

    Mislim, ko da je bitno. Sto se mene tice, diktatorski rezim koji zabranjuje ljudima da uopste ucestvuju na izborima nemam nista protiv da sruse 3 generala (ili 3 vladike, ili tri metka for that matter) ako ce posle toga izbori liciti na nesto, a ne 100 hiljada demonstranata. Besmislena rasprava.
    Sergen Yalçın

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    Post by Sergen Yalçın Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:29 pm

    a ja bih se iz ovih stopa vratio u staru dobru titinu jugoslaviju gde nije bilo izbora.


    _____
    I don't have pet peeves, I have major psychotic fucking hatreds
    паће

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    Post by паће Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:33 pm

    Sergen Yalçın wrote:a ja bih se iz ovih stopa vratio u staru dobru titinu jugoslaviju gde nije bilo izbora.

    Па имали су они избора:
    - шта ће на то рећи Запад?
    - како ће то одјекнути у народу?
    - како ће бити примљено у партији?
    - шта ће на то рећи Руси?
    - хоћемо ли на то ухватити нешто међу несврстанима?

    Па су онда бирали између тога... по отприлике том редоследу значаја (још се колебам између народа и партије). Ако ухвате два од тих пет, накриве капу.


    _____
       the more you drink, the W.C.
       И кажем себи у сну, еј бре коњу па ти ни немаш озвучење, имаш оне две кутијице око монитора, видећеш кад се пробудиш...
    fikret selimbašić

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    Post by fikret selimbašić Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:44 pm

    Sergen Yalçın wrote:a ja bih se iz ovih stopa vratio u staru dobru titinu jugoslaviju gde nije bilo izbora.

    Mi u BiH smo imali, prave i prilično demokratske, knjižili bi ih tako i EU posmatrači. Birali smo jednog od trojice ponuđenih kandidata za člana predsedništva SFRJ.


    _____
    Međuopštinski pustolov.

    Zli stolar.
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 2:46 pm

    Russia Can Use Both Hard and Soft Power to Prop Up Lukashenko

    Keir Giles


    Bela Rusija - Page 27 Belarus_Protests_34653.jpg-8a770
    AP/Scanpix

    This image made from video provided by the State TV and Radio Company of Belarus, shows Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko armed with a Kalashnikov-type rifle as he thanks riot police officers near the Palace of Independence in Minsk, Belarus, Sunday, Aug. 23, 2020. Lukashenko has made a dramatic show of defiance against the massive protests demanding his resignation, toting a rifle and wearing a bulletproof vest as he strode off a helicopter that landed at his residence while demonstrators massed nearby.



    Russia is supporting Alexander Lukashenko behind the scenes. But Lukashenko is also working hard preparing the ground for inviting Russian troops into Belarus if necessary.
    After a period of mixed messages, Russia appears to have decided it would prefer to keep Lukashenko in place than risk an unknown replacement, or dangerous unpredictability while that replacement is found. But for as long as protests continue at scale despite renewed repressive measures, continued support for Lukashenko by security and military forces will be critical if he is to retain power. As foreign media interest in the plight of Belarus wanes, the Belarusian leadership is benefiting from indirect support from Russia – but has also put all the conditions in place for a military intervention.

    Soft Options

    Initial fears that unrest in Belarus might trigger a hostile military move by Moscow have receded as the Belarusian security forces have remained in control. But Russia does not need an overt invasion and seizing territory to exert political leverage in Belarus. Other measures, both friendly and unfriendly, draw on a long-established playbook of influencing neighbours.
    Russia has given the Belarusian leadership support in its information campaigns aimed both at its own population and at the outside world. Russian journalists have been drafted in to replace their counterparts at Belarusian state media who went on strike in protest. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has endorsed claims by the Belarusian authorities that the opposition had released a radical anti-Russian manifesto. And in Russia itself, the poisoning of Aleksey Navalny has provided a distraction which has diverted much of Western media, diplomatic and political outrage from events in Belarus.
    Reports of the intensive rounds of talks between Belarusian ministers and their Russian counterparts refer to a number of agreements reached. Russia could support Lukashenko through preferential trade arrangements, and effectively increase subsidies to the Belarusian economy by ending demands for higher prices for energy supplies. In addition, Belarus will be the first foreign country to receive test batches of the COVID-19 vaccine Russia says it has developed.
    Taken together, these measures come as close as Russia gets to exercising “soft power” – a concept notoriously hard to convey in Russian. The key question is what Lukashenko may have promised in return. In particular, Russia also does not need to establish a military presence in Belarus by force if it can arrive unopposed by invitation from Lukashenko.

    Hard Alternatives

    Lukashenko has been pushing hard the line that Belarus is facing external aggression on its borders with Poland and Lithuania, combined with foreign attempts to destabilise Belarus by fomenting a colour revolution in the westernmost region of Grodno. This builds on earlier warnings of foreign-inspired separatism and NATO aggression and the relocation of at least one major unit to the region from the border with Russia. Defence Minister Viktor Khrenin has echoed the warnings of military conflict or civil war.
    On Saturday, visiting exercise command posts, Lukashenko said that “for the first time in a quarter century we have had to take a most serious decision and bring the bulk of the Armed Forces to full combat readiness, and redeploy forces westward”. This, he said, was because “NATO forces are on the move towards our border”, intending to provide the “external component” of the “colour revolution” planned for Belarus. And Sunday’s ludicrous pantomime of posturing with an assault carbine and body armour to visit the Palace of Independence must have been intended to bolster the impression of imminent danger.
    But by pointing to the Grodno region and its borders with Poland and Lithuania as the area of maximum danger, Belarus is playing out with great precision the scenario for its Zapad military exercise with Russia in 2017. In Zapad, combined Russian and Belarusian forces subdued the fictitious state of Veishnoriya, superimposed on those same western border regions of Belarus, and took on foreign aggressors (thinly disguised Poland and Lithuania) escalating into a broader conflict with NATO. Even without escalation, the next step practised during Zapad is the invitation of Russian forces into Belarus to assist in restoring order. A new permanent presence of Russian forces in the country – something Belarus has until now consistently resisted – would present a whole range of new and serious security challenges for Ukraine, Poland and the Baltic states.

    Next Moves

    Lithuania and Poland have pointed out firmly that there are no unusual military activities on their side of the border, accompanied by a constantly repeated but slightly less defensible claim by NATO that it has “no military buildup” near Belarus.
    When, inevitably, no NATO aggression materialises, and if Lukashenko or Khrenin do not feel the need to simulate it, they can still declare triumph and bolster Lukashenko’s domestic position by pointing to a successful exercise in deterrence – facing down the NATO would-be invader through a display of readiness and resolve.
    But the current war hysteria also provides other options. It offers a justification for further repression in the Grodno region and elsewhere, involving the Armed Forces (which can be activated for supporting the internal security forces in a state of emergency or “war condition”); but in the meantime, having the regular army busy in border regions or remote training areas keeps them away from towns and cities, making them less susceptible to opposition messaging and less likely to join protestors.
    Exercises in this region of Belarus are to continue until the end of August, and intensify with the calling up of reservists. Meanwhile, on the far side of the Suwałki gap in Kaliningrad, Russia’s forces have also been on the move, conducting live fire exercises with armoured units and the Baltic Fleet. The increased activity on both sides should be watched closely for preparing or providing cover for an unexpected move. The border regions with Poland and Lithuania must be a key focus of attention. Like Lukashenko adopting fancy dress, using helicopter gunships to intercept balloons from Lithuania also draws ridicule; but if Lukashenko feels sufficiently insecure that the fictitious foreign threat needs to be hyped still further, more serious border incidents or “provocations” might be claimed.
    Perversely, the best insurance against dangerous adventurism by Lukashenko may be the failure of opposition protests to achieve tangible results. The more confident Lukashenko and his uniformed ministers are that the crisis has passed, the less need there is to act out his dangerous fantasy of NATO belligerence – with or without calling Russia to his aid.

    https://icds.ee/en/russia-can-use-both-hard-and-soft-power-to-prop-up-lukashenko/
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 5:01 pm

    fikret hadžiabdić wrote:
    Sergen Yalçın wrote:a ja bih se iz ovih stopa vratio u staru dobru titinu jugoslaviju gde nije bilo izbora.

    Mi u BiH smo imali, prave i prilično demokratske, knjižili bi ih tako i EU posmatrači. Birali smo jednog od trojice ponuđenih kandidata za člana predsedništva SFRJ.
    На много начина је погрешно поредити Титово доба са модерним једнопартијским државама, типа Србије или Белорусије. Тито се није ништа фолирао, основни постулат је био да је избор унапред и заувек направљен: ми смо беспоговорно на социјалистичком путу, предвођени авангардом радничке класе. Избори су били више као нека мала пригодна свечаност на том путу, штиклирала су се имена која нам је уредно доставила авангарда. А којој је то, јел да, био посао. Нико ту није ништа лажирао, могуће да је спорна била сама реч “избори”, ал нико се није много потресао око тога.

    А ови сада се стиде тог свог једнопартизма (мада им је највећи и једини успех у животу!) и покушавају на све начине да га сакрију и преобуку. Тако да често лажирају изборе на оба краја: ем краду за себе, ем измишљају некакву опозицију, па онда и њима приписују фантомске гласове. При свему томе дабоме немају ни најмању представу о томе куда иду, него се панично држе за власт. И бију по, великој им, потреби.
    rumbeando

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    Post by rumbeando Tue Aug 25, 2020 5:53 pm





    Last edited by rumbeando on Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:00 pm; edited 2 times in total
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 5:56 pm

    Vrlo ozbiljna stvar
    rumbeando

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    Post by rumbeando Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:01 pm

    Pre nedelju dana:

    On August 17, 2020 the pastoral visit of Metropolitan Paul of Minsk and Zaslavsky, Patriarchal Exarch of All Belarus, to the hospital of emergency medical care of Minsk took place.

    At present, some of the hospital's patients are people who were injured during the protests that took place early last week. Among them are participants of the rallies, as well as random people. There are also people who were admitted to the hospital with signs of beatings and serious injuries from the temporary detention facility on Okrestin Street. The injured people suffered severe physical and psychological damage.

    ...
    Visiting the chambers, Lord Exarch told all the victims that the Belarusian Orthodox Church prays for their speedy recovery, and expressed hope for a fair investigation of the crimes committed during the recent protests.

    - Hold on, get well and do not lose heart! - metropolitan Pavel wished the victims.

    Patriarch Exarch reminded everyone that the Church, being out of politics, at the same time condemns any violence, stays with all people, shares their pain, empathizes with their suffering, prays for them and their loved ones.
    http://church.by/news/patriarshij-ekzarh-navestil-ljudej-postradavshih-v-hode-protestnyh-akcij?fbclid=IwAR3R6_1R_1Vk3pNC9_es2CZko4U3Jp_robZVAI5zJpjhmoMI4gKPbOnWnG8
    (translation by Deepl)

    Tražio nepristrasnu istragu o masovnim premlaćivanjima demonstranata i drugih koje su nahvatali, pa gde to ima u despotijama poput Rusije i Belorusije - smena stiže odmah.
    rumbeando

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    Post by rumbeando Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:12 pm

    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Tue Aug 25, 2020 6:57 pm

    rumbeando wrote:


    Oni su potpuni, ALI POTPUNI, kreteni
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:24 pm

    Hiljade stratega malo je omanulo.

    Kako isprovocirati crkveni raskol u tri laka koraka.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:36 pm

    Mene Putinova Rusija plaši, ali zaista. Ni Kinezi ni Ameri nisu ni izbliza, nemaju prosto zasto, ovako jebeno isfrustrirani kao ovi. Ovo je bukvalno ludacki potez.
    disident

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    Post by disident Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:37 pm

    Vasa wrote:Hiljade stratega malo je omanulo.

    Kako isprovocirati crkveni raskol u tri laka koraka.
    Bela Rusija - Page 27 3579118792
    jeste sumanuto, al dobro, sad je bar jasno da ce nemilosrdno ici do kraja, svog il njihovog 
    Après nous, le déluge


    _____
    Što se ostaloga tiče, smatram da Zapad treba razoriti
    Jedini proleter Burundija
    Pristalica krvne osvete
    Anonymous
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    Post by Guest Tue Aug 25, 2020 7:55 pm

    Mór Thököly wrote:Mene Putinova Rusija plaši, ali zaista. Ni Kinezi ni Ameri nisu ni izbliza, nemaju prosto zasto, ovako jebeno isfrustrirani kao ovi. Ovo je bukvalno ludacki potez.

    nema zašto da te plaši, oročena je

    trajaće ovakva dok je Putin živ, još nekih 50 do 60 godina
    kapetanm

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    Post by kapetanm Tue Aug 25, 2020 8:37 pm

    S tim da ce posle njega biti drugi isti takav. Ne sede uzalud stratezitm

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