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    EU - what's next?

    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Thu Oct 13, 2022 8:03 pm

    Del Cap

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    Post by Del Cap Fri Oct 14, 2022 1:26 am

    brejking njuz bi bilo da su odobrili viznu liberalizaciju


    enivej

    Erős Pista

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    Post by Erős Pista Fri Oct 14, 2022 1:29 am

    EU  - what's next? - Page 36 3274312807


    _____
    "Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."

    Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
    plachkica

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    Post by plachkica Tue Oct 18, 2022 4:39 pm

    Vilmos Tehenészfiú

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    Post by Vilmos Tehenészfiú Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:04 pm

    Cujem da je reko da su non-EU Indijanci.


    _____
    "Burundi je svakako sharmantno mesto cinika i knjiskih ljudi koji gledaju stvar sa svog olimpa od kartona."

    “Here he was then, cruising the deserts of Mexico in my Ford Torino with my wife and my credit cards and his black-tongued dog. He had a chow dog that went everywhere with him, to the post office and ball games, and now that red beast was making free with his lion feet on my Torino seats.”
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:16 pm

    Izuzev onih koji su kauboji, naravno.
    паће

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    Post by паће Tue Oct 18, 2022 5:56 pm

    И каубоји су џунгла, дакакаоРЖ.


    _____
       the more you drink, the W.C.
       И кажем себи у сну, еј бре коњу па ти ни немаш озвучење, имаш оне две кутијице око монитора, видећеш кад се пробудиш...
    Del Cap

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    Post by Del Cap Wed Oct 19, 2022 11:00 am

    doom & gloom

    Will the energy crisis crush European industry?

    While companies are digging in for a long winter, executives and politicians fear a wave of deindustrialisation

    https://www.ft.com/content/75ed449d-e9fd-41de-96bd-c92d316651da

    As European businesses brace for energy shortages, workers at one plant in south-eastern France are getting a new winter wardrobe. Saint-Gobain, the French building materials group, has ordered extra warm coats and gloves for staff at its warehouse in the Alpine town of Chambéry, who have agreed to turn down the heat this winter. In order to cut gas consumption, temperatures will be closer to 8C, instead of the usual 15C.  “It will be just like working outside so we have to give them all the tools to work in an outside environment,” says Benoit d’Iribarne, senior vice-president of manufacturing.

    Turning down the thermostat is no mere cost saving for many of Europe’s industrial companies as they dig in for a hard winter. With energy prices soaring to unprecedented highs after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, it has become a matter of survival. Europe’s industrial base employs some 35mn people or roughly 15 per cent of the working population. The bloc’s leading industrialists warned earlier this month about the potentially devastating economic impact of the energy crisis. “Soaring energy prices are currently precipitating an alarming decline in the competitiveness of Europe’s industrial energy consumers,” said the European Round Table for Industry in a letter to Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, and Charles Michel, head of the European Council. Without immediate action to cap prices for energy-intensive companies, “the damage will be irreparable”.

    On the surface, European industrial companies are putting a brave face on it — talking about the energy-saving measures they are implementing and the other costs they are finding to cut. While some are looking to coal and other fossil fuels to get them through the winter, others talk optimistically about the green revolution that the crisis is spurring. But there is already evidence that major companies are reducing production in some sectors because of the energy shortage, even before the winter kicks in. And executives from chemicals to fertilisers to ceramics warn that they risk losing permanent market share and could be forced to move some of their production to parts of the world that can offer cheaper and more reliable energy. The alarm bells are ringing among Europe’s politicians. “We are risking a massive deindustrialisation of the European continent,” says Alexander De Croo, Belgium’s prime minister. In the meantime, companies in sectors from steel to chemicals, ceramics to papermaking, fertilisers to automotives are racing to reduce consumption both to cut crippling energy bills costs and to prepare for gas shortages over the winter, should governments impose rationing.

    Many are finding ingenious ways to reduce energy use. French carmaker Renault, for example, is reducing the time it keeps paint hot — a process that accounts for up to 40 per cent of its gas demand. Such innovations promise to deliver more efficient factories and processes in future. But first, these businesses have to get through the winter.

    Those that could do so have increased prices. Cologne-based chemicals company Lanxess, which makes base chemicals and active ingredients for the pharmaceuticals market, increased base prices by up to 35 per cent when energy costs began to surge. But price increases will not address the problem of gas shortages. Paper and packaging group DS Smith has ordered its factories to cut consumption by 15 per cent, a voluntary reduction agreed by EU member states in July. Machines that used to be idled between production runs will now be turned off, and thermostats turned down. “If we do things like this and turn down the thermostat from 20 to 18.5 degrees we reduce gas consumption significantly,” says Miles Roberts, chief executive. Valeo, the French automotive supplier, has asked factories to reduce energy consumption by 20 per cent, with measures such as halting production at the weekend and turning down temperatures during the week. Solvay, the Belgian chemicals company, says it is organising its factories to operate on 30 per cent less gas using alternative energy and mobile diesel-fuelled boilers. Gas is the single most important source of energy for Europe’s industrial companies. But gas is also an important feedstock, used in the chemicals and fertiliser industries. In total, industry consumes about 27-28 per cent of the bloc’s total supply, according to Anouk Honoré, ​deputy director of the gas research programme at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

    But it is not that easy to cut the fuel out of many industrial processes. Roughly 60 per cent of industrial gas consumption is used for high-temperature processes of 500C and above, such as glass-making, cement or ceramics. “For lower temperature processes, there are more options to use renewable energy and heat pumps,” Honoré says.

    For that reason some companies are turning to fossil fuels, in a potential setback for the EU’s green transition plans. Bayer, the German pharmaceutical and biotech company, in 2019 announced plans to move entirely to renewable energy. But it has now reactivated coal “just in case” it is unable to meet heat needs for production. Carmaker Volkswagen is running power plants in Wolfsburg, its largest site, with coal for the next two winters, instead of switching to gas as planned as part of its decarbonisation efforts. Even for the lower temperature industrial processes, alternatives are unusually scarce at the moment. The summer’s drought has depleted hydropower capacity, while France’s ageing nuclear reactors are unable to meet demand due to protracted shutdowns and maintenance issues.

    So some industries, faced with crippling energy prices and softening consumer demand, have decided that the best way to cope is simply to cut production. Analysts at investment bank Jefferies estimate that close to 10 per cent of Europe’s crude steel capacity has been idled in recent months. ArcelorMittal, Europe’s biggest steelmaker, expects output from its European operations to be 17 per cent lower this quarter compared with last year after it cut production. Metals trade body Eurometaux says all of the EU’s zinc smelters have had to curtail or even completely halt operation, while the bloc has lost 50 per cent of primary aluminium production. Some 27 per cent of silicon and ferroalloy output has also been mothballed, and 40 per cent of the furnaces, it adds. The fertiliser sector, which relies on gas as a feedstock to create ammonia, has also been hit, with 70 per cent of capacity offline, according to Fertilizers Europe. Goldman Sachs estimates that 40 per cent of Europe’s chemical industry “is at risk of permanent rationalisation” unless energy prices are contained. “With the rapid rise in energy prices, we are constantly reviewing our production levels across Europe,” said German chemicals group Covestro in a statement. The same story is playing out in the plastics, ceramics and other energy-hungry industries. Consultancy Rhodium estimates that just five sectors account for roughly 81 per cent of Europe’s industrial gas demand: chemicals, basic metals such as steel and iron, non-metallic minerals products such as cement and glass, refining and coking, and paper and printing. In some of these sectors, temporary shutdowns are not only costly; often they are almost impossible to implement without permanently damaging equipment.

    Saint-Gobain’s d’Iribarne says the potential for energy reduction is limited in the company’s glass factories, where furnaces have to keep burning to keep the glass from solidifying. “You can’t reduce consumption by 30 per cent because that means you would have to shut down and that would damage the factory. You would need six months to a year to restart.” Arc International, a French glassware maker, has had to do just that. Normally furnaces at its plant in northern France need to run 24 hours a day, making up about half the factory’s energy usage. Now the company has idled two of nine furnaces, and extended the maintenance period on another two, after gas bills increased almost fourfold this year. The company has also been hit by a sudden downturn in demand for some of its products, says Nicholas Hodler, the chief executive. As a result roughly a third of staff have been put on furlough two days a weeks. The widespread shutdowns are raising concerns that the crisis is opening the door to rivals from regions with lower energy costs. “A reduction or halt of the exports, albeit temporary, risks translating into a permanent loss of market share,” says Giovanni Savorani, president of Confindustria Ceramica, the trade body for Italy’s €7.5bn a year ceramics industry. European manufacturers have long complained about the competitive disadvantage posed by the bloc’s fragmented energy market. Over the 10 years to 2020, European gas prices were on average two to three times higher than the US, according to the International Energy Agency. That gap has widened to as much as 10 times since Russia began cutting back supplies.

    "You can import [fertiliser] for half the price we can produce at,” says Jacob Hansen of Fertilizers Europe.
    Cefic, the European chemicals industry trade body, points out that since March this year Europe has become a net importer of chemicals by both volume and value for the first time. “This is seriously concerning,” says Marco Mensink, director-general. “We are just way too expensive on a global basis because of energy costs.” In an effort not to cede ground to competitors, some companies are tapping their lower cost plants outside Europe. Ilham Kadri, chief executive of Belgium’s Solvay, says the chemicals group could step up production of more energy-intensive products in lower cost markets if needed. “We are looking at how to prioritise products,” she says “We are a global company and can leverage assets outside Europe to compensate for any reduction in volume there.” One Italian steel executive says the combination of high energy costs and Europe’s carbon levy is forcing a rethink about where to produce steel, priced at €800 a tonne. “The price of gas used to have a €40 [a tonne] impact, it has now risen to €400,” he says. “If we add the carbon tax on top, the overall impact of energy costs is €600. It makes a lot more sense for us to move production” to Asia.

    Packaging groups Smurfit Kappa and DS Smith are both looking to their factories in North America for paper supplies. “We are bringing in more from the US than we have done in the past,” says DS Smith’s Roberts. “To make paper you use a lot of energy. In the US it is much more available and energy costs are much much lower.” Experts warn that the longer companies are forced to shift production from Europe, the risk rises that some output may never return. Honoré of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies says this happened before. “When European gas prices were at relatively high levels between 2010 and 2014, we saw relocation to regions with lower prices — such as the Middle East, north Africa and US,” she says. “Industrial gas demand never went back to pre-financial crisis levels.” “Once investment decisions are made . . . it is hard to ask companies to come back,” says Matthias Berninger, a senior executive at Bayer. “If we were to invest in a new site that has decades long consequences.” Lower-margin, gas-hungry commodity producers, such as the fertiliser industry, could be among the first victims, suggests Trevor Houser of Rhodium. “The economics of producing natural-gas-based fertiliser in Europe will be poor for a long time,” he says. The threat is particularly acute in central and eastern Europe, where many countries have been heavily reliant on Russian gas. Of Europe’s 45mn tons of fertiliser production a year, Poland alone produces 6mn, according to industry sources. All five of its factories are idle. Another 3mn tons of capacity are offline in Hungary, Romania and Croatia. In eastern Europe, 20 per cent of European capacity has been shut down. Hungary-based fertiliser-maker Nitrogénművek is among those that have had to scale back. Zoltan Bige, chief strategy officer, warns that the implications of capacity reductions this winter could be devastating. “If we do not produce in the summer, the stock does not accumulate,” he says. “Across Europe, there is not the inventory that should be available in the spring when demand starts to increase.” The lasting impact of the shutdowns across Europe will not be known for many months. But already the reduction in output of chemicals, steel and other critical, basic products is worrying those further down the value chain.

    Companies such as Volvo and Bayer have begun to stockpile parts and materials in case suppliers run into trouble. “Our main concern is not the energy price but the availability of inputs we convert into pharmaceuticals,” says Bayer’s Berninger. The future of Europe’s gas-reliant chemicals industry — and in particular of BASF’s Ludwigshafen site, the largest integrated chemical plant in the world — is deeply concerning for some industrialists. Ludwigshafen is a key supplier to manufacturers of everything from cars to toothpaste and is the engine of Germany’s chemicals sector. “If the German chemicals industry goes down, three weeks later every supply chain in Europe has a problem,” says Cefic’s Mensink. Germany’s dominance in the supply chain with industrial giants such as BASF, means that even companies based elsewhere are exposed to the prospect of gas rationing in the country. “If Germany is not able to supply . . . that will have ripple effect all across Europe,” says Saint-Gobain’s d’Iribarne. German companies, which account for 27 per cent of the bloc’s sold industrial production by value, are on the frontline. At the beginning of this year, more than 50 per cent of Germany’s gas imports came from Russia and industry accounts for just over a third of demand.

    The German government recently unveiled a €200bn support package to offset high energy costs for households and business. But German manufacturers like steelmaker Thyssenkrupp, do not rule out the need for drastic action if the crisis continues. The group has already relocated production away from two of its plants to its flagship site at Duisburg, which runs on its own energy network, and is less reliant on natural gas. The company says it is also prepared to shut down individual plants if energy bills continue to rise. “The costs of gas and electricity . . . pose an existential threat to energy-intensive industries such as the steel industry,” Thyssenkrupp says. Other countries may not have Germany’s industrial heft, but their economies — and employment — are even more reliant on manufacturing. The OECD estimates that Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria and Slovenia, Sweden, Finland and northern Italy have the highest employment shares in vulnerable gas-intensive sectors. All these countries are scrambling to offer support to their industries and citizens as the weather grows chillier and energy demand rises. But many companies are already looking beyond this winter to the next, and predicting even tougher conditions. “In 2022, there were decisive volumes from Russian sources,” says Nitrogénművek’s Bige. “If this all goes away, it paints a rather pessimistic picture for next winter [2023-4]. The proportion of new gas sources will increase, but the infrastructure is far from being able to catch up.” Arc’s Hodler says the scope for increasing prices next year will also be limited. “The real question is whether in 2023 we will see a significant increase in energy costs,” he says. “We are not going to be able to pass on all those extra costs to our customers without seeing a significant impact in volume.”

    But there are those who believe the result of the crisis will be a stronger, greener industrial base. Companies such as Saint-Gobain, Solvay and Smurfit Kappa told the Financial Times they were all accelerating energy-transition plans that were in place before Russia’s invasion. Tony Smurfit, chief executive of Smurfit Kappa, says his company is “spending three times what we would have spent” under previous plans. So there are reasons to be optimistic. “This will accelerate the green revolution. Fifty years ago there were no options for green energy and now there are. I think this will make Europe very green.”
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Wed Oct 19, 2022 11:11 am

    The Green Agenda needs to go. For starters.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Wed Oct 19, 2022 11:12 am

    To je kad te vode slepci (i kukavice): daj sankcije odmah, za.oruzje cemo da vidimo.
    Летећи Полип

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    Post by Летећи Полип Thu Oct 20, 2022 12:50 pm

    https://pescanik.net/raspad-2/


    _____
    Sve čega ima na filmu, rekao sam, ima i na Zlatiboru.


    ~~~~~

    Ne dajte da vas prevare! Sačuvajte svoje pojene!
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Wed Oct 26, 2022 4:17 pm



    Ceo niz

    Hard to articulate just how far Germany's star in EU has fallen. In Bxl & EU capitals, Berlin is seen to be on wrong side of every important debate - weapons to Ukraine, more fiscal solidarity in Europe, energy market interventions etc. It's even affected bilateral Fr-Ger ties 1/
    Last Thursday, France & Germany cancelled their annual summit after a series of bitter rows over energy policy in response to the Ukraine war. The postponement of the joint meeting is the first bust-up of this kind since the annual ministerial summits began in 2003 2/
    Officially, the meeting in Fontainebleau, south of Paris, has been delayed until January to allow more work on joint initiatives & communiques. But one EU official said the meeting was cancelled by Fr after “some very serious hiccups” in Fr-Ger relationship over past few weeks 3/
    To overcome the differences, @EmmanuelMacron has invited @OlafScholz to a lunch in the @Elysee today. Expect a symbolic show of proximity. But the truth is Scholz is clearly prioritising domestic coalition consensus over unity in Europe - and that seems unlikely to change 4/
    The biggest source of discord has been Berlin’s plan to spend €200bn to soften the impact of high gas and electricity prices on its industry and consumers. France, like other EU member states, fears that this will falsify internal trade and competition within the EU 5/
    Instead, Macron believes Germany  should join in an EU-wide programme to boost and protect all European economies - similar to the ground-breaking €750bn post-Covid investment Recovery Fund successfully proposed by Macron and former Chancellor Angela Merkel in 2019 6/
    Berlin points to €100bn spent by Fr to subsidise petrol, diesel, gas & electricity prices this yr which has kept Fr inflation at 6% compared to 10% in Eurozone. Paris retorts this money has helped households & small businesses – not industries which compete on Single Market 7/
    But until now, Germany sees no case for another EU-wide “energy” recovery programme. The problem is inflation, not stimulating demand, Berlin says. I understand the Chancellery is reconsidering this position – but not quickly enough for Fr tastes to save last week’s summit 8/
    Paris has also been irritated by Berlin's insistence on pushing ahead long-term with its abandonment of nuclear power. Macron believes the Ukraine war & severance of gas supplies from Russia has vindicated his own decision to build new generation of nuclear power plants in Fr 9/
    But Ger has also been angered by France’s refusal to back Spain's plan to build a gas pipeline to Northern Europe. France says the pipeline is economically & ecologically unsound; Spain & Ger suspect Fr wants to protect the interest of its own nuclear & green-power industries 10/
    Energy isn't only issue. Macron welcomed Scholz’ decision to boost Ger military investment. He's since been dismayed to see Berlin turn away from pan EU military-industrial projects & buy off-shelf equipment from US, undermining Fr hopes of greater EU industrial “sovereignty” 11/
    Fr officials fear that Berlin’s neglect of Fr-Ger partnership under Scholz is not just clumsy oversight or indeed more complex domestic politics - but a generational shift in German attitudes towards the EU. Based on Berlin's reputation in EU right now, that may be right 12/
    There have been Fr-Ger quarrels before. Finally both countries have always settled their differences because they knew they had to. Today's meeting will try to kick start that process. Fr is still very attached to idea of Fr G partnership. But officials wonder - is Ger too? ENDS
    • • •
    Erős Pista

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    Post by Erős Pista Wed Oct 26, 2022 4:25 pm

    Djubrad, bila im dobra EU samo dok si bili glavni.


    _____
    "Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."

    Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
    avatar

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    Post by Zus Wed Oct 26, 2022 5:00 pm

    Nije da branim Njemce ali Francuzi su posebne pizde
    od Germana niko ne treba da ocekuje solidarnost
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Wed Oct 26, 2022 5:02 pm

    Prekrpiće nešto, ko i uvek.
    Filipenko

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    Post by Filipenko Wed Oct 26, 2022 9:15 pm

    Neka prodaju ostrva Bavarsku.
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Wed Oct 26, 2022 9:29 pm

    Kome, Svajcarskoj?
    Notxor

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    Post by Notxor Wed Oct 26, 2022 9:34 pm

    Rusima, Emiratima...


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      Sweet and Tender Hooligan  
    Bleeding Blitva

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    Post by Bleeding Blitva Sun Oct 30, 2022 2:52 pm

    Ajde nešto su se složili Macron i Scholz, spojile ih protekcionističke mjere Amera, vrag odnio šalu, ko će kupovat francuske i njemačke aute
    https://www.politico.eu/article/france-and-germany-find-ground-on-a-common-concern-u-s-protectionism/
    ...both leaders agreed that the EU cannot remain idle if Washington pushes ahead with its Inflation Reduction Act, which offers tax cuts and energy benefits for companies investing on U.S. soil, in its current form. Specifically, the recently signed U.S. legislation encourages consumers to “Buy American” when it comes to choosing an electric vehicle — a move particularly galling for major car industries in the likes of France and Germany.
    Macron was the first to make the stark warning public. “We need a Buy European Act like the Americans, we need to reserve [our subsidies] for our European manufacturers,” the French president said Wednesday night in an interview with TV channel France 2, referring specifically to state subsidies for electric cars.
    Macron also mentioned similar concerns about state-subsidized competition from China: “You have China that is protecting its industry, the U.S. that is protecting its industry and Europe that is an open house,” Macron said, adding: "[Scholz and I] have a real convergence to move forward on the topic, we had a very good conversation.”


    _____
    my goosebumps have goosebumps
    Летећи Полип

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    Post by Летећи Полип Sun Oct 30, 2022 3:19 pm

    A ko će našu industriju da čuva? lele...


    _____
    Sve čega ima na filmu, rekao sam, ima i na Zlatiboru.


    ~~~~~

    Ne dajte da vas prevare! Sačuvajte svoje pojene!
    Filipenko

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    Post by Filipenko Sun Oct 30, 2022 4:08 pm

    Govna i jedni i drugi. Samo hoce da naprave neki politicki okvir da stampaju pare i ubace u svoje odvratne nabrekle guzice.
    Donald DeSantis

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    Post by Donald DeSantis Sun Oct 30, 2022 4:13 pm

    Auuu ... sta je ovo tisucu mu Obama?! Trampov izolacionizam se siri Amerikom i Evropom kao klimatsko-promenljivi pozar!  EU  - what's next? - Page 36 1f602 

    Klaus Schwab intervenisi !!!

    EU  - what's next? - Page 36 P


    _____
    Ronald Reagan: 'If Fascism Ever Comes to America, It Will Come in the Name of Liberalism'
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sun Oct 30, 2022 4:31 pm

    Летећи Полип wrote:A ko će našu industriju da čuva? lele...

    Pa cuvace (EU) svoju kod nas, koliko im bude trebalo. Ali to je ta Vuciceva pamet...
    Bleeding Blitva

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    Post by Bleeding Blitva Sun Oct 30, 2022 4:55 pm

    Filipenko wrote:Govna i jedni i drugi. Samo hoce da naprave neki politicki okvir da stampaju pare i ubace u svoje odvratne nabrekle guzice.
    EU  - what's next? - Page 36 1233199462
    Molim te lijepo, pripadaš Europi i ima da navijaš za europske guzice!

    U hrvatskim okvirima već vidim kako Rimčev Odjel za simulakrum trlja ruke EU  - what's next? - Page 36 1233199462


    _____
    my goosebumps have goosebumps
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sun Oct 30, 2022 5:01 pm

    Ma naravno da ako bude toga mi ulazimo u taj okvir, ali pod nekim posebnim uslovima... Mislim, drugo nista nece ni postojati i mozemo samo da se samoubijemo.

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