Virus

Cousin Billy wrote:Inače doubling time u JAR je izgleda 3-4 dana.

rumbeando wrote:Poređenje dnevnog broja slučajeva po južnoafričkim provincijama za 12. novembar (levo) i 26. novembar (desno).



Dakle, za 14 dana u novim sojem najpogođenoj provinciji Gauteng (obuhvata Johanezburg i Pretoriju) broj slučajeva porastao je 12,6x, što odgovara vremenu dupliranja od 3 dana i 19 sati. Dosta impresivno.

rumbeando wrote:

Growth rate (in absolute terms and relative to Delta) will be become clearer in the following days, but at the moment, I believe we're looking at a variant that potentially has significant immune evasion and that appears to be spreading rapidly. 15/16

— Trevor Bedford (@trvrb) November 26, 2021

Dakle, lik kaže da je najbliži evolutivni rođak omikrona verzija virusa još s kraja aprila 2020, da je u ovih godinu i po evoluirao i razvio ogroman broj mutacija u nekom zabačenom ćošku gde nema sekvenciranja ili u hronično inficiranoj osobi. Takođe je napravio procenu brzine širenja na osnovu promena virusa zabeleženih u ovih 77 dostavljenih uzoraka omikrona iz JAR, Bocvane i Hongkonga i dobio vreme dupliranja od 4,8 dana.

RIVM [National Institute for Public Health and the Environment] has found the Omicron variant in test samples taken in the Netherlands earlier in November. These samples were taken in the GGD test lanes on 19 and 23 November 2021.

A man in Saxony has been infected with the Omicron variant of the coronavirus without having been in South Africa before. A spokeswoman for the city of Leipzig confirmed corresponding media reports to SPIEGEL.

"I have just received confirmation of an Omicron detection in the mutation analysis for a 39-year-old patient," the "Bild" newspaper quoted Regine Krause-Döring, head of Leipzig's public health department, as saying. According to the "Leipziger Volkszeitung," she expressed concern at an online meeting with Saxony's Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer (CDU) about the fact that, according to her, the man had neither been abroad nor had any contact with people returning from abroad.

The new coronavirus variant, Omicron, has been detected in two Israeli doctors, one of whom had returned from a conference in London in the past week, a spokesperson for Sheba Medical Center near Tel Aviv confirmed on Tuesday.
The two doctors had received three doses of the Pfizer/BioNtech vaccine, and so far have shown mild COVID-19 symptoms, the hospital said.
The physician who had returned from Britain had probably infected his colleague, it said.

What a mess! Came back from a conference in London. With a mask and 3 #Pfizer vaccines I managed to get #Omicron (case #3 in Israel). I guess that's one way to get into @CNN and @guardian. Still prefer in-person over the online format‍�@EricTopol @Hragy #CardioTwitter #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/bgMgUOAi1D

— Elad Maor (@maor_elad) November 30, 2021

Opening ceremony of PCR London valves 2021. High attendance despite #Covid with more than 1,000 in-person participants. Congratulations to the @PCRonline tream! #pcrlv #tavr #mitraclip #treattr #radialfirst #cardiotwitter #vhd pic.twitter.com/zYlJfUK3ij

— Elad Maor (@maor_elad) November 21, 2021

All nine cases of the Covid Omicron variant that have been reported in Scotland have been linked to a single “private event” which took place on 20 November.
None of the nine people had recently travelled to southern Africa where the variant was originally detected, or were in contact with anyone who had.

2/ Linear property versus exponential:
A much more lethal virus, a bit less transmissible, is preferable to a much less lethal virus, a bit more transmissible.
Grasping for simple fixes to complex problems always ends in tears. Shame our policymakers don't understand that.

— Dr David Berger, Absurdist Chronicler (@YouAreLobbyLud) November 28, 2021

Nigeria has detected its first case of the omicron coronavirus variant in a sample it collected in October,weeks before South Africa alerted the world about the variant last week, Nigeria CDC director-general Dr.Ifedayo Adetifa said Wednesday.

— Fred Muvunyi (@MuvunyiF) December 1, 2021

Nove mere: Za ulazak na Kosovo od 3. januara po dve doze najmanje, do tada uz dva dokaza https://t.co/dTZesW6fux

— Kosovo Sever portal/KoSSev (@KoSSevnews) November 30, 2021

The unvaccinated fill SA hospitals amid emergence of Covid-19 Omicron variant

Johannesburg - The government has continued to urge South Africans to vaccinate against Covid-19 as recent statistics revealed that more than 80% of patients currently admitted to hospitals in Pretoria were unvaccinated.
The National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) reported that Covid-19 cases, including that of the new Omicron variant, were highest in Gauteng, and in particular Pretoria.
"Most of our daily increases at this stage are from Gauteng, at about 81%. There has been a tremendous increase in the past 10 to 14 days,” said Dr Michelle Groome, head of the division of public health surveillance and response at the NICD.
Dr Waasila Jassat, also of the NICD, said that unvaccinated patients suffered more severe symptoms than vaccinated ones, and were most likely to face hospitalisation if infected by the new Covid-19 variant. She reported that 87% of all admissions in Pretoria were unvaccinated patients.
“We have been tracking this across the country since February, and what we can say is there is a much higher chance of death among those who are unvaccinated,” Dr Jassat said.
She was one of many experts who provided detailed feedback during a media briefing held by the Health Ministry yesterday.
Dr Salim Abdool-Karim, who also presented, said they were quite amazed at how fast the number of infections was rising, “but we were not caught with our pants down”.
“We expected and prepared for a new variant as far back as in September. The government then invested in building capacity to do genomic frequency, and this early evidence has given us the best fighting chance against this new variant,” he said.
Abdool-Karim said that while there was still a lack of evidence on whether the current vaccines were effective against the new variant, he said that evidence should present itself over the next few weeks.
“But, we do expect that vaccines should hold well against the hospitalisation of those who are infected,” he said.
He added that the biggest challenge would be preventing super-spreader events.
The scientists and department also urged those who were already vaccinated to motivate others to vaccinate and strictly follow preventive measures such as mask-wearing and the washing of hands.
Minister of Health Joe Phaahla said the rise of infections served as a reminder there was a deadly virus in our midst, and that citizens should use what was tried and tested in preventing severe cases of Covid-19.
While more than 16.5 million South Africans are fully vaccinated, the department’s Dr Nicholas Crisp said that many more people remained unvaccinated.
So far, early information showed that most Covid-19 patients admitted to hospital and experiencing severe symptoms were unvaccinated, the department said.
Phaahla held a detailed media briefing on Monday to further unpack the address by President Cyril Ramaphosa, and to present a state of readiness to respond to the Omicron variant.
Research has also shown that most patients are presenting similar symptoms to other Covid-19 variants. However, in particular, concerns have been raised about the rise of infections in young children and babies.
Scientists and experts that presented at the briefing said the Health Department may have to focus on paediatric hospital beds preparedness in this fourth wave.
Dr Jassat said they had seen a sharp increase in infections over the past few days, with most cases among those aged between 10 and 29 years old.
She also spoke of the increase in the number of hospital admissions in Pretoria, however other regions in Gauteng also showed an increase.
The experts also spoke out against the closing of South Africa’s borders, saying that there was no science to support such decisions.
Phaahla, Abdool-Karim and Department of International Relations and Co-operation (Dirco) spokesperson Clayson Monyela reiterated the government’s frustration at the decision made by other countries.
Abdool-Karim said there was no benefit in closing the borders as the Omicron variant had been detected in at least 11 other countries by yesterday.
Monyela said that they had received reports from South Africans stranded in cities around the world. He said any stranded South African must go to their nearest South African embassy for assistance.
“It is very unfortunate, sad and quite regrettable to know that travel restrictions have been imposed on South Africa by other African countries. This decision is unwarranted and not based on science. Dirco is engaging all the countries with a view to persuading them to reverse this decision,” he said.

plavaivy wrote:curi mi nos i kijam u naletima..temp mi ne ide preko 36,9 ali me je nocas jako bolela glava i morala sam popiti aspirin da bih se jutros probudila bez cula mirisa   dosta je cudan trip..a videcu o tome tek kad pocnem da kuvam i na sta ce to liciti