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Erős Pista
by Erős Pista Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:40 pmPobeda!!!
Virus
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Join date : 2012-06-10
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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."
Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
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Join date : 2019-11-04
THREAD on the new variant B.1.1.529 summarising what is known from the excellent South African Ministry of Health meeting earlier today
— Prof. Christina Pagel (@chrischirp) November 25, 2021
TLDR: So much uncertain but what *is* known is extremely worrying & (in my opinion) we should revise red list immediately.
This is why: 1/16
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We do know that B.1.529 has many more mutations than other variants *and* has mutations seen in other variants that are associated with BOTH higher transmissibility AND immune escape.
— Prof. Christina Pagel (@chrischirp) November 25, 2021
It's the number and type of mutations that are worrying the virologists & immunologists 10/16 pic.twitter.com/bzeuSmh1Nl
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Join date : 2017-03-14
o ne opet ćemo dumremo
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Join date : 2014-10-29
"higher transmissibility and immune escape" - nisam otvorila ceo niz, ali u principu, ovo nije nuzno zabrinjavajuce. Ako nema jace simptome ili ne povecava stopu hospitalizacije kod vakcinisanih, who cares (osim nevakcinisanih). Sooner or later svi cemo prelezati neki oblik covida-19, poenta je samo da to bude kao prosecna prehlada.
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you cannot simply trust a language model when it tells you how it feels
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i dalje držim palčeve da se pojavi soj sa slabim simptomima ali da bude izuzetno lako prenosiv. ko zna, možda je to baš ovaj.
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Join date : 2017-03-14
"higher transmissibility and immune escape" - nisam otvorila ceo niz, ali u principu, ovo nije nuzno zabrinjavajuce
i ne samo to, nego nikako nije isto je li to 1% higher ili 101% higher
i ne samo to, nego nikako nije isto je li to 1% higher ili 101% higher
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
Kelt, lekar, tamo:
šansa za miokarditis od virusa je 16x veća [nego za miokarditis od vakcine], celu prošlu subotu sam pregledao nevakcinisanu decu sa miokarditisima posle asimptomatskog ili oligosimptomatskog covida
pre mesec dana sam pregledao tinejdzera, imao je skoro pa asimptomatski covid, neka mala temperatura dva dana i malo malaksalost i to je bilo to, pa je prošlo oko mesec dana do prvog pregleda, imao je nešto slabiji oporavak pa mi je bilo sumnjivo, kontrola opet za mesec dana, kompleksna aritmija u naporu, eno na magnetu miokarditis. Nevakcinisan. I to je već x-ti po redu tako.
Virus ne zna za pravne norme, ljudske slobode itd, svi moraju da se vakcinišu i da se revakcinišu i da poštuju "mere" dok se globalno ne smanji transmisija. Za morbile, kada vakcinacija padne ispod 90% svi postaju ugroženi, i vakcinisani, tako je i za ovo. Ne postoji herd immunity jer ljudi neće da se vakcinišu, a dok njega ne bude ovo neće da stane.
Sad kad krenu da viču što se vakcinišu deca 5-11...
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Join date : 2014-10-27
deca od 5 do 11 ne bi morala da se vakcinisu da su svi matori konji vakcinisani.
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
Deluje dosta zabrinjavajuće, u toj provinciji nema više delte, a slučajevi dosta brzo rastu.
https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1463956690743742470
https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1463956690743742470
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
Important thing to keep in mind:
— Dr Emma Hodcroft (@firefoxx66) November 25, 2021
- SA has recently had relatively low cases - this may leave a void which a new variant can spread into more easily - it likely hasn't had to compete with Delta. In other places, where Delta rages, it may not be as fit.
The additional information today helps us: we can track this variant with PCR tests, & we know how to look for it. We can step up monitoring, & we should.
— Dr Emma Hodcroft (@firefoxx66) November 25, 2021
However, what fitness advantage(s) it may have are still unclear, esp outside of initial spread. More data needed.
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Saopštenje Bocvanaca:
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Afrikanci kidaju u ovom praćenju varijanti. Brzina reakcije je neverovatna.
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I preporučujem da se iskulira od ruminacija na temu "šta ako". Mnogi sojevi su se pojavili i krepali, jednostavno niko ne zna još domet ovog soja, i zašto je tako snažno udario u toj zoni. Što kažu, možda je bio jedina igra u gradu i nije se sukobio sa deltom.
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
Da, deluje da su se dosta dobro organizovali, videćemo kakve će informacije pristizati u narednim danima. Za nedelju-dve znaće se dosta više.
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Join date : 2016-02-01
https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps/regions/europe/
- Posts : 28265
Join date : 2015-03-20
tko bi gori sad je doli
tko bi doli sad je gori
tko bi doli sad je gori
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#FreeFacu
Дакле, волео бих да се ЈСД Партизан угаси, али не и да сви (или било који) гробар умре.
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U UK obustavljeni letovi ka zemljama Južne Afrike zbog Nu varijante (tj B11529).
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Took a look at the spike mutations in B.1.1.529 this evening, and colour coded them (details below)...there is...not much green.🧵 pic.twitter.com/yNHM55oTTH
— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) November 25, 2021
In orange are three mutations that are probably meaningful biological changes for the virus, but not previously seen in VOCs. Two from VUI level lineages that likely had modest advantages over original virus, and E484A which is at a key site in the receptor binding domain.
— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) November 25, 2021
Deo tvitova je u spoileru:
- Spoiler:
In green is just D614G, which has been fixed in all SARS-CoV-2 since early 2020.
— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) November 25, 2021Then there's a group of 4 nearby substitutions (3 in the space of 5 amino acids) that have not been seen before, but are so close together that I doubt its coincidence. They are also very close to the (previously conserved) binding site of sotrovimab, a therapeutic antibody. pic.twitter.com/3e4gVvpcqR
— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) November 25, 2021
There are also multiple (possibly funcitonal) mutations in genes other than spike: notably R203K and G204R in nucleocapsid, which were recently shown to be key in increasing transmissibility, and are present in all VOCs to date. https://t.co/FJtcDSAPGb
— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) November 25, 2021
We need to learn more, fast. To end on a hopeful note, it's mind-blowing how quickly we've got this far. Kudos to @Tuliodna et al for getting this out, and setting the global scientific community onto experiments to answer more of these questions. Let's get to work.
— Jeffrey Barrett (@jcbarret) November 25, 2021
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Join date : 2016-02-01
Za nedelju dana u Južnoafričkoj Republici se skoro utrostručio broj slučajeva, a duplirao broj umrlih. Britanija i Izrael već uveli zabranu letova iz 6 država Južne Afrike, a japanska berza pala za 3%.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-africa/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-africa/
BREAKING: South Africa, Namibia, Lesotho, Botswana, Eswatini and Zimbabwe will be added to the UK's travel red list from midday tomorrow due to concerns over a new #COVID variant, the health secretary has announced. https://t.co/VMni3L7D3g pic.twitter.com/U6P3fykShM
— Sky News (@SkyNews) November 25, 2021
BREAKING: Israel bans travel from South Africa, Lesotho, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Namibia and Eswatini due to new coronavirus variant
— BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) November 25, 2021
BREAKING: Japan's Nikkei index drops 880 points (3%) amid growing concern about new coronavirus variant; Dow futures down 390 points (1.1%)
— BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) November 26, 2021
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
Deluje da su krive u logaritamskoj razmeri, koje pokazuju brzinu eksponencijalnog rasta, baš dosta strme - kao na samom početku pandemije. U talasima u međuvremenu sporije su rasle.
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~ZAF
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~ZAF
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Confirmed+cases&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~ZAF
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&facet=none&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=location&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=~ZAF
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Join date : 2017-11-16
Oho, vreme je da uvedemo letove iz JAR i Bocvane za Beograd
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
2) the viral load of these two with #B11529 in Hong Kong hotels were VERY high. PCR Ct values of 18 and 19!!! That’s insanely high considering they were negative on recent PCR tests. Damn, looks like vaccine evasion could be real with this variant. https://t.co/s4UQS2wi8S
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 25, 2021
4) I think border and travel restrictions make sense. Especially since Hong Kong
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) November 25, 2021only caught the case because of a mandatory hotel quarantine. Which countries in the west still have that??? Almost none. https://t.co/owAaKS9lFa
- Posts : 52540
Join date : 2017-11-16
Vakcinisanje na 3 meseca, iskljucivo mRNA
Sve sto ikako moze onlajn teraj na onlajn
Mislim, ako i kad pristigne
Sve sto ikako moze onlajn teraj na onlajn
Mislim, ako i kad pristigne
- Posts : 13817
Join date : 2016-02-01
Kaže vodeći južnoafrički epidemiolog da procenjuju da se se samo u pokrajini Gauteng preko 1000 ljudi dnevno sada zarazi tom varijantom.
Tulio de Oliveira (@Tuliodna) - Director of CERI: Centre for Epidemic Response & innovation, South Africa:
Tulio de Oliveira (@Tuliodna) - Director of CERI: Centre for Epidemic Response & innovation, South Africa:
https://twitter.com/Tuliodna/status/1463911577544011780We estimate that 90% of the cases in Gauteng (at least 1000 a day are this variant, due to qPCR proxy testing)
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Join date : 2017-11-16
Ok, gauteng ima 12m stanovnika, nije jos toliko alarmantno