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    Virus

    Bleeding Blitva

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    Post by Bleeding Blitva Fri Jul 23, 2021 6:33 pm

    MNE wrote:izgleda da su ovi imbecili riješili da se useru u sezonu a taman sam pomislio da ćemo izvući bar nešto

    https://www.vijesti.me/vijesti/drustvo/558705/privremena-zabrana-za-nocne-klubove-i-diskoteke-od-2-avgusta-povlastice-za-vakcinisane
    Nama se svima desio turizam i mi ga i dalje stihijski odrađujemo, znači nagrabi sad koliko moš vrag vidia gledat dugoročno. E a ne može sad tako, treba dobrano kalkulirat i kontrolirat situaciju, pa ako to znači zatvorit klubove, zatvaraj. Nek plešu na terasi apartmana Virus - Page 19 2304934895


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    Notxor

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    Post by Notxor Fri Jul 23, 2021 6:41 pm

    Nije ni u Dalmaciji mnogo drugačije
    https://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/ovo-su-sve-nove-mjere-na-jadranu-i-na-granici/2292557.aspx

    U drugoj vesti

    https://www.vijesti.me/vijesti/drustvo/558865/zavrsena-blokada-kruznog-toka-u-budvi-ugostitelji-najavili-novi-protest-za-subotu


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    Bleeding Blitva

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    Post by Bleeding Blitva Fri Jul 23, 2021 6:49 pm

    Pa odi je sve otvoreno, ali uz covid potvrde, samo je pitanje koliko oni provjeravaju te potvrde na ulazu. Who watches the watchmen.
    Dosta dobra mjera je da Britanci moraju pcr ili antigenski test bez obzira jesu se cijepili.


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    Del Cap

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    Post by Del Cap Sat Jul 24, 2021 2:20 pm

    Ceo niz





    bemty

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    Post by bemty Sat Jul 24, 2021 4:17 pm

    Nope.

    https://twitter.com/kaischulze_/status/1418913699297996803?s=21


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    rumbeando

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    Post by rumbeando Sat Jul 24, 2021 8:26 pm

    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sat Jul 24, 2021 8:31 pm

    Zavisi koje PH measures. Sa maskama drustva mogu u nedogled da funkcionisu. Ali...ne moze u nedogked bez okupljanja. 

    Po meni - obavezna vakcinacija i pusti prokuzavanje. Bolje realno ne moze. Mkze jos par meseci, ali to je to.
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    Post by MNE Sat Jul 24, 2021 9:52 pm

    bemty wrote:Nope.

    https://twitter.com/kaischulze_/status/1418913699297996803?s=21
    ali lijepo bi bilo..

    Bleeding Blitva

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    Post by Bleeding Blitva Sat Jul 24, 2021 10:51 pm

    Mór Thököly wrote:Zavisi koje PH measures. Sa maskama drustva mogu u nedogled da funkcionisu. Ali...ne moze u nedogked bez okupljanja. 

    Po meni - obavezna vakcinacija i pusti prokuzavanje. Bolje realno ne moze. Mkze jos par meseci, ali to je to.
    Ajme ne znam, opet protestiraju kontra stožera, mjera i obaveznog cijepljenja. Muh freedoms


    E, da pitam, zadnjih par dana slušam dosta o cijepljenima koji su ipak skupili covid i onda mogu zaraziti druge, koliko je to učestalo? Jel bi onda ipak svi bez obzira na cijepljenje trebali na ulazima antigenske radit ili? Oprostite ako je već bilo, nisam baš sve ispratila.


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    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sat Jul 24, 2021 10:56 pm

    Kada se cijepljeni razboli, to, prema svemu pročitanom i kako ja shvatam,  znači da u najvećem broju slučajeva on raspršuje manje čestica virusa okolo. Drugim rečima, ko se od njega razboli, pogotovu ako je i sam cijepljen, in turn, slabije će se razboleti i slabije raspršivati čestice virusa. Dugoročno, to je, čini mi se, neizbežan scenario, ali - dajmo da svi dočekamo virus kako dolikuje - imunizovani.
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    Post by MNE Sat Jul 24, 2021 11:06 pm

    Mór Thököly wrote:Kada se cijepljeni razboli, to, prema svemu pročitanom i kako ja shvatam,  znači da u najvećem broju slučajeva on raspršuje manje čestica virusa okolo. Drugim rečima, ko se od njega razboli, pogotovu ako je i sam cijepljen, in turn, slabije će se razboleti i slabije raspršivati čestice virusa. Dugoročno, to je, čini mi se, neizbežan scenario, ali - dajmo da svi dočekamo virus kako dolikuje - imunizovani.
    nisam baš siguran...imaj u vidu da je pfizer efikasan 39% na infekcije a 41% na simptomatski covid što znači da skoro svako ko se inficira kašlje kija itd. takođe ima i ovo

    The study also showed that the vaccinated individuals infected with Covid had high viral loads.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/fully-vaccinated-people-catch-covid-variants-may-pass-virus/
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sat Jul 24, 2021 11:41 pm

    Nikad nisam rekao da ne mogu da ga prenesu, a "viral load" je relatuvna stvar. Kaslje i kija ali telo brze reaguje i ubija virus i ima ga prosto manje u vazduhu koji izdises. S druge strane ga (u mom scenariju) takodje docekuje vakcinisana osoba. 

    Obavezna vakcinacija (neka vrsta toga) je jedini nacin da se zivot vrati u nesto sto lici na pre-2020 svet. Bukvalno nema druge, tj ima - ugostiteljstvo, turizam, entertainment industrija i sve sto uz to ide (hrana, pice, xy usluga i proizvodnji) ce se zlopatiti jis min 5 godina. To kaci ogroman broj ljudi
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    Post by MNE Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:06 am

    pa ne mož se zlopati ako pustiš sve i (skoro) svi se zaraze, pa ko hoće da iskušava sreću ne mora da se vakciniše
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:32 am

    Ne mogu da izdrze zdravstveni sistemi 40% nevakcinisanih ako sve pustis. Manje ce umirati sa 60% vakcinisanih, ali previse zavrsava u bolnici sa tom razmerom vakc/nevakc


    Last edited by Mór Thököly on Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:33 am; edited 1 time in total
    boomer crook

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    Post by boomer crook Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:33 am

    ceo thread

    https://twitter.com/Shayan86/status/1418915810416934915


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    And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
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    Post by MNE Sun Jul 25, 2021 9:44 am

    Mór Thököly wrote:Ne mogu da izdrze zdravstveni sistemi 40% nevakcinisanih ako sve pustis. Manje ce umirati sa 60% vakcinisanih, ali previse zavrsava u bolnici sa tom razmerom vakc/nevakc
    od 40% vakcinisanih većina ima imunitet koji traje duže od godinu i funkcioniše na deltu itd, slabo pratiš rumbijeve postove
    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:19 pm

    Pratim trend hospitalizacija u Evropi.
    Del Cap

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    Post by Del Cap Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:43 pm





    паће

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    Post by паће Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:58 pm

    Mór Thököly wrote:Pratim trend hospitalizacija u Evropi.

    На безбедном растојању?


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    Del Cap

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    Post by Del Cap Sun Jul 25, 2021 2:52 pm

    Intervju sa Erikom Topolom:
    https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/07/how-bad-could-the-delta-variant-get.html

    The other thing I’d say is a lot of people discount long COVID, but that’s a big deal. If we do get to 200,000 cases a day, that’s a lot of long COVID.

    - From what I can tell, estimates of that prevalence are really all over the place — some studies suggest rates as high as 30 percent or even 50 percent of all cases, but those don’t seem to me to be very good surveys and would suggest something like 50 million Americans are dealing with a debilitating chronic condition already. Some other estimates are very, very low — considerably under one percent, even. How do you ballpark? 

    Ten percent. Probably it’s either high single digits or low double digits is the real deal. When you get north of that, with those surveys showing higher figures, those people are not necessarily dealing with serious symptoms for, say, a year plus — they’re getting better, or their symptoms aren’t as worrisome. They’re not as debilitated. But for the real-deal cases — the ones that can’t work, the real, significant brain fog, the ones that really are suffering — it’s probably one out of ten.

    It’s a nasty, horrible condition for some people. It doesn’t get enough respect still.

    The one other point is this breakthrough-infection thing is probably worse than we have estimated. I don’t mean for death and hospitalizations, but in terms of the ability of the disease to burn through the vaccinated to make them get them infected — it’s not looking as good as we’d hoped, I think it is fair to say.

    And there were very relatively few deaths and hospitalizations in those trials, 75,000 people in the two trials, Moderna and Pfizer — there were like nine deaths in the Pfizer trial and 30 in the Moderna.

    But what you’re onto is a really big deal because the vaccines are basically not living up to the trials in terms of symptomatic disease, though they are offering great protection against what the trials didn’t test — death and hospitalization. We’re getting the same 90-some percent reduction of those end points. But with Delta we’re seeing a drop-down of protection in symptomatic disease and transmission. It is being transmitted. It is getting into people who’ve been fully vaccinated.

    Looking ahead to the fall, I’m optimistic. Delta will have passed through by then — it’ll pass through by late August, or September, if it looks like India or the U.K. or Netherlands. We’ll have a rapid descent, and it’ll burn through. We’ll still have lots of COVID in this country, but it’ll be back to where it was before Delta came. It will be at a lower level. The only question is, is there something lurking that’s worse than Delta? There’s no sign of it yet, but there’s too much of this virus circulating to be confident — too many people in Indonesia and sub-Saharan Africa who are getting sick. But I hope not. I’m hoping that this is as bad as it gets. But if you talk to evolutionary biologists, they’ll tell you the variants are going to get worse.
    rumbeando

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    Post by rumbeando Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:30 pm

    bemty

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    Post by bemty Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:41 pm

    ovo je interesantno posto je ovde smanjivanje mera u punom jeku, tako da je izgleda uprkos tome pocelo da opada - sto je ogromna razlika u odnosu na prethodne talase. naravno, poslednje mere su ukinute tek pre neki dan pa ostaje da se vidi kako ce brojke izgledati kroz nedelju-dve, ali svejedno, ovo opadanje koje se sad desilo, se nije desilo zbog smanjivanja kontakta medju ljudima.


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    Nektivni Ugnelj

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    Post by Nektivni Ugnelj Mon Jul 26, 2021 12:00 am

    Mozda je virus lupio u vakcinu. Ipak je dosta ljudi tu vakcinisano
    bemty

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    Post by bemty Mon Jul 26, 2021 12:16 am

    naravno, sta drugo.


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    rumbeando

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    Post by rumbeando Mon Jul 26, 2021 1:26 am

    bemty wrote:poslednje mere su ukinute tek pre neki dan pa ostaje da se vidi kako ce brojke izgledati kroz nedelju-dve, ali svejedno, ovo opadanje koje se sad desilo, se nije desilo zbog smanjivanja kontakta medju ljudima.

    Holandija se otvorila 26.6. Minimum su imali 27.6, a već 30.6. su imali za 30% slučajeva više.

    "Dan slobode" u Engleskoj je bio pre nedelju dana, 19.7.

    Nadajmo se da su ipak sve dobro proračunali.

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