Annual German Ambassadors’ Conference 2020: Opening remarks by High Representative/ Vice President Josep Borrell
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Allow me to briefly state how dramatically our world is changing.
Perhaps the best way is to see COVID-19 as the great accelerator of history. It strengthens trends that were already present before.
First, we live in a leaderless world where Asia will be increasingly important - in economic, security and technological terms. Analysts have long talked about the end of an American-led system and the arrival of an Asian century. This is now happening in front of our eyes.
If the 21st century turns out to be an Asian century, as the 20th was an American one, the pandemic may well be remembered as the turning point of this process.
Demand for multilateral cooperation has never been greater. But supply is falling behind. This is the first major crisis in decades where the US is not leading the international response. Maybe they don’t care, but everywhere we look we see increasing rivalries, especially between the US and China.
The pressure to choose sides is growing. As EU, we should follow our own interests and values and avoid being instrumentalised by one or the other.
US-China rivalry is also having a major, often paralysing effect on the multilateral system: in the UN Security Council, the G20, the WHO and elsewhere, there are many more disagreements and vetoes and fewer agreements.
Second, the world is becoming more digital, but also more state-driven. The key questions will be: who will control the digital networks? And who will set the rules and standards?
Third, our globalisation model is under pressure. We need a more strategic approach to managing vulnerabilities and dependencies.
And last, the world risks becoming less free, less prosperous, more unequal, more fragmented. You diplomats will have a lot work!
Democracy and respect for human rights – our political model – are contested. Some are not shy in exploiting these dynamics. In the digital domain and elsewhere, there is a real battle of narratives going on.
We see all these trends playing out in our immediate neighbourhood.
Beginning with the Western Balkans where we must sustain our commitment to bring the region into the EU.
Handling relations with Turkey, in all their complexities, will be a big priority in the coming months.
Libya is the test of EU credibility, right at our doorstep. We have seen the absurd situation of fighters wearing masks to protect themselves against COVID, while exchanging fire with machine guns.
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Further south, African countries are especially vulnerable to the impact of the pandemic; UN Secretary-General Guteress was warning us about this some days ago. This is doubly true for the Sahel, where challenges converge, including climate change and extremism.
To the east, we must support Ukraine and strengthen ties with all Eastern Partners for sure.
But we also need a frank discussion on how to handle a Russia that feels emboldened to challenge important common European security interests. We need to have a selective engagement with Russia on the issues that matter to us. This is not contradictory with being firm. We need a smart balance between firmness and sanctions with Russia with a careful attempt at engagement in selective areas.
We should remember that in energy there is mutual dependency, which I don’t have to remember you of, in Germany. We need to buy gas, but they need to sell. So let’s invest in reaching a better understanding among us where each of us comes from and how we can build trust to move forward together.
China is getting more powerful and assertive and its rise is impressive and triggers respect, but also many questions and fears. As you know, it is fashionable to say that we are reaching a Thucydides moment. Let’s hope not!
I have said it: our relations must be based on trust, transparency and reciprocity. This is not always the case today. We only have a chance if we deal with China with collective discipline. And we hope that the Leipzig EU-China Summit scheduled in autumn will be very important in this regard. Also on that, we rely on you.
We need a more robust strategy for China, which also requires better relations with the rest of democratic Asia. That’s why we must invest more in working with India, Japan, South Korea et cetera.
To face all these challenges we need to build a real common strategic culture. We do not have it yet and this weakens our action. The need to act as a Team Europe, or as ‘Europe United’, as my friend Heiko has called it, is greater than ever.
But our ambitions are only credible if we back them with a sense of shared ownership and responsibility among Member States. There seems to be less trust and common ground among us, right when we need it most.
Too often, we are unable to reach a consensus because Member States cling to their national viewpoints instead of understanding that there is a broader common interest. Reaching no compromise at all hurts everyone.
An EU response – even if it is imperfect in the eyes of some Member States – is often better than a deafening silence.
We also need the resources to be effective.
If you want an EU foreign policy that gets results, we all need to invest in it. Politically, but also financially.
We count on Germany to play its full role as Presidency to help reach an ambitious result for the recovery, the next European budget and a wider re-launch of our European project.
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by kondo Sat May 23, 2020 12:08 am
rumbeando
