Блиски исток

Sotir wrote:

Летећи Полип wrote:Daj ljudi, ne ložite se. Na ovo će da se zaboravi do one tamo nedelje. Uostalom, kako bi to Iran i mogao da uzvrati Americi, a da to bude iole srazmerno? Sve manje od toga je pokazivanje slabosti. Persijanci ima malo da se busaju, vitlaju sabljom, ali neće uraditi ništa.

Биће врв глава за главу. 

Иранци имају доста ефектива у Ираку да узврате на више начина. Имају и ПВО системе средњег домета, БПЛ, вероватно и неке крстареће, сигурно и артиљерије... 

Доста начина да нападну по Америма у Ираку, који су као на стрелишту.

https://twitter.com/RymMomtaz/status/1213045597223165952

Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
1/ Why did Iran militarily escalate in the Gulf lately? Shooting down a US drone, seizing tankers, bombing Saudi oil infrastructure? It wanted to internationalise the conflict. The Strait of Hormuz is where most of the world's shipping transits. The US chose not to go there.
Преведи твит
11:33 пре подне · 3. јан 2020.·Twitter Web App
321
ретвит
479
Свиђања
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
Одговор за
@RymMomtaz
2/ US also held its own line: a US person killed meant retaliation. It targeted the militia that did the attack. It was reciprocal, but also punitive to send a message. Iran-backed militia escalated against US embassy. US managed the attack, didn't blow everything up. #Soleimani
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
3/ US responded to embassy attack, and many lower level attacks by Iranian-backed militias in run-up, by killing, in Iraq, the head of all Iranian-backed anything #Soleimani. US may have just restored some escalation dominance. Whether it's part of cogent strategy is different Qu
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
4/ Real US reckless action or declaration of war wld have been attacking Iranian soil.
This admin determined that the cost of tolerating Soleimani alive had now exceeded the benefits of not killing him. We must wait and see whether that was the right call, no one knows today.
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
5/ The most important part of Soleimani's killing, isn't his killing (as big as that is), it is the deep US intelligence penetration around Iran's most important military leader that it revealed. Signals and human intel. This is what is going to spook the Iranian camp the longest
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
6/ Why did US claim the #Soleimani kill, instead of following the Israeli ambiguity playbook?
US and Israel have different roles and capacities. The US is the mightiest military power around, owning attacks cld be part of deterrence, showing force, restoring escalation dominance
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
7/ What happens next: let's be clear, no one knows for sure, even those who will decide some of the next steps.
The Iranian regime is not suicidal, it is strategic, calculating (even if it miscalculates sometimes), so likelihood of an all-out direct US-Iran war is low.
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
8/ Khamenei promised response, it must be strong enough to save face internally, for a regime already strained + facing popular dissent, and also be calibrated to avoid provoking a US response inside Iran. Iran response will show whether deterrence restored #Soleimani
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
9/ The myth of invincibility that Iran built around Soleimani was a huge recruitment tool, it may also now turn out to be a double-edged sword. How does its most valiant warrior, its most effective US challenger, get picked off so precisely by the US?
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
10/ Concern for US military, diplo personnel, and citizens, in the region is legit. But allowing it to dictate policy plays into Iran's hands which weaponises Western sensitivity to human loss, and war weariness, to further destabilise the region unchecked. #Soleimani
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
1 ч
11/ There are many so-called anti-imperialists who always criticise Western intervention but justify Iranian/Russian intervention. Iran is not a legit actor in Iraq/Syria/Leb/Yemen. Its crimes there are no less reprehensible than those by the US or colonialists. #Soleimani
Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز
@RymMomtaz
·
40 м
12/ Iran is set to announce its next violations of the JCPOA in next few days. That's another thing to look out for, other than a military retaliation, in wake of today's #Soleimani kill. Will it escalate to the point of affecting break-out time or not?

The most important part of Soleimani's killing, isn't his killing (as big as that is), it is the deep US intelligence penetration around Iran's most important military leader that it revealed. Signals and human intel. This is what is going to spook the Iranian camp the longest

This admin determined that the cost of tolerating Soleimani alive had now exceeded the benefits of not killing him. We must wait and see whether that was the right call, no one knows today.
Rym Momtaz

Ovaj hrvatski ambasador u Iranu koji objašnjava da su Hrvati iranskog porijekla... nadam se da ga Amerikanci ne shvaćaju ozbiljno.

— Dejan Jovic (@DejanFpzg) January 3, 2020

AZ-5 wrote:a i on ima trip da usa boli paja za hrvate ili neku slicnu boraniju odavde 

ono kad po svaku cenu hoces da budes deo neceg velikog