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THE EPIDEMY

Coronavirus: the government estimates 92,000 contagions, the peak on March 18

Over 360,000 in quarantine. This is the official forecast on the spread of the virus made by the Government, which reads in the technical report of the third decree on the emergency expected in the Council of Ministers.

by Marzio Bartoloni

Ninety-two thousand Italians infected by the coranavirus until the end of April and over 360 thousand in quarantine with the peak of contagion expected around March 18.

This is the official forecast on the spread of the virus made by the Government, which reads in the technical report of the third decree on the emergency expected in the Council of Ministers.

A forecast that takes into account the latest more stringent measures adopted in recent days by the Government that have turned Italy into a red zone and that will produce their effects - as all epidemiologists say - after about 7-10 days. Hence the forecast of the peak on 18 March.

Contagion doubled until mid-March
The estimate of the 92,000 total infections in Italy - numbers similar to those in China - can be read in the draft decree and in particular in the technical report of the article on the recognition of the disease for those who are placed in quarantine because they have come into contact with Covid 19 positive people.

Here is what the text says: "On the basis of the data reported on the website of the Ministry of Health on the trend of contagions up to 8 March and assuming a future trend of daily contagions as in the graph below, prepared considering a doubling of contagions in about 3 days until mid-March and then a gradual decline due to the containment measures launched by the Government. This trend would lead to a total number of infected persons equal to about 92 thousand".

390,000 in quarantine
The Government then assumes that for each new contagion 4 people will be placed in quarantine under active surveillance or permanently under house trust. Hence the 390,000 in quarantine. The decree also publishes a graph showing how the contagion boom will occur after mid-March when new cases per day should be around 4 thousand more positive cases per day and then begin to fall after March 18 to reach the end of the spread of contagion towards the end of April.

If the 92,000 total infections were confirmed and a death rate of 3%-4% were respected, coronavirus deaths could be over 3,000 in all.

Vlada ograničava cijene određenih proizvoda

Vlada je održala telefonsku sjednicu na kojoj je donijela Odluku o iznimnim mjerama kontrole cijena za određene proizvode.

Ova Odluka donosi se radi sprječavanja negativnih učinaka promjene pojedinih cijena proizvoda i radi sprječavanja monopolističkog određivanja cijena proizvoda, a u vezi s nastalom epidemije bolesti COVID-19 uzrokovane virusom SARS–CoV-2 u Republici Hrvatskoj čime se osigurava zaštita zdravlja i života ljudi.

Odlukom se određuju proizvodi na koje se primjenjuje mjera kontrole cijena: brašno, mlijeko i mlijeko u prahu, jaja, šećer, sol, riža, tjestenina, svježe meso, riba, voće i povrće, mesne konzerve, riblje konzerve, jestivo ulje, dječja hrana, dječje pelene, voda za piće, deterdžent za rublje, deterdžent za suđe, sapun, sredstva za dezinfekciju vode, prostora i ruku (uključujući koncentrirani alkohol), zaštitni kombinezoni i druga zaštitna i medicinska odjeća i obuća, zaštitne naočale i viziri, zaštitne rukavice, zaštitne navlake za cipele, zaštitne maske – kirurška, FFP2, FFP3, respiratori/transportni ventilatori, lijekovi i medicinski proizvodi te posteljno i ostalo rublje za zdravstveni sustav.

Odluka se odnosi na subjekte koji obavljaju registriranu djelatnost proizvodnje i trgovine na području Republike Hrvatske.
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