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https://twitter.com/henrikenderlein/status/911987835103793152
Henrik Enderlein @henrikenderlein
Little tweetstorm #btw2017
1/ Don’t expect coalition decision before 15 Oct (day of regional election in Lower Saxony). No gvt before Xmas.
2/ Historically bad SPD result excludes another #GroKo. Party would be killed. Schulz opposition leader. Problem not him but #GroKo.
3/ Historically weak Merkel result in combination with horrible AfD result will strengthen conservatives in CDU-CSU. Not good for Europe.
4/ Pyrrhic victory for Merkel. No straightforward coalition option. #Jamaica Minority government (tolerated by SPD) solution of last resort.
5/ #Jamaica not a coalition of 3 but of 4 parties. CSU (CDU sister party from Bavaria) likely to affirm own positions against Greens and FDP
6/ Era #Schäuble likely over. FDP will want FinMin. Greens will claim Foreign Ministry. Most senior politician could leave German gvt.
7/ Period starting now way more interesting than campaign. Coalition agreement is as important in German politics as Bible in the church.
7/ Macron should continue to push hard for stronger EU. Little time before #Brexit + EU poll 2019. Germany can’t afford to block progress.
8/ German party system not as badly affect by populism/extremism as other countries. But two “Volksparteien” get only ~52%. Historic low.
Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
- Guest
- Post n°26
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Guest Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:30 pm
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- Post n°27
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:32 pm
CDU/CSU-EPP: -91
SPD-S&D: -57
AfD-ENF: +87
FDP-ALDE: +67
GRÜNE-G/EFA: -2
LINKE-LEFT: -5
SPD-S&D: -57
AfD-ENF: +87
FDP-ALDE: +67
GRÜNE-G/EFA: -2
LINKE-LEFT: -5
Erős Pista
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- Post n°28
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Erős Pista Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:32 pm
Theresa sends her regards.
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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."
Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
- Guest
- Post n°29
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Guest Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:41 pm
SPD ide u opoziciju, Šulc već potvrdio
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- Post n°30
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 6:46 pm
Istok Nemacke:
Izlgeda da nije samo emigracija vec i ekonomija...Sto se vidi i na rezultatu Linke. Toliko o neverovatnom nemackom ekonomskom modelu i uspehu....
Izlgeda da nije samo emigracija vec i ekonomija...Sto se vidi i na rezultatu Linke. Toliko o neverovatnom nemackom ekonomskom modelu i uspehu....
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- Post n°31
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:00 pm
Mada je puno 4 godine, mislim da je ovo poslednji mandat za Merkel.
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- Post n°32
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by rumbeando Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:04 pm
Ovako je bilo na istoku pre 4 godine.
AFD u celoj Nemačkoj sa 4,8 na 13,2, rast od 175%, a na istoku sa 5,9 na 21,5, rast od 264%.
AFD u celoj Nemačkoj sa 4,8 na 13,2, rast od 175%, a na istoku sa 5,9 na 21,5, rast od 264%.
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- Post n°33
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by boomer crook Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:09 pm
he he he linke. da vidim sada ove njihove praznoglave satelite koji zive na rozinoj sisi.
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
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- Post n°34
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Kinder Lad Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:09 pm
Dobro, jbg, ekstremna stranka dobila 13,5%, ne bih pravio dramu oko toga u 2017. godini
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alt-lib
- Guest
- Post n°35
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Guest Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:10 pm
Horst Seehofer, leader of the CSU: “We made the mistake of having the right flank open. This is used [against us] by our main contenders.”
“I will not blame anyone, [for the result],” he said, adding that the party will have to work to regain voters’ trust.
‘We have a vacuum on the right, we will close it with politics.. that ensures Germany remains Germany.”
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- Post n°36
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Erős Pista Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:11 pm
ostap bender wrote:he he he linke. da vidim sada ove njihove praznoglave satelite koji zive na rozinoj sisi.
:cirjakovic:
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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."
Dragoslav Bokan, Novi putevi oftalmologije
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- Post n°37
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:11 pm
Germany (Bavaria): CSU (EPP) collapses to 38.5%. Worst result since 1949 (ARD exit poll).
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- Post n°38
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by boomer crook Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:12 pm
@mrderfejs: pa ovde je u pravu. ovde je roza uporno sabotirala formiranje levice. neintencionalno ali jeste.
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
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Join date : 2016-06-25
- Post n°39
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:13 pm
Jedva cekam kako ce da zatvore rupu narocito sto ne vidim da ekonomija Nemacke moze bolje od ovoga.
Takodje jedva cekam da vidim kako ce se takmicti u desnicarskoj retorici sa AfD. CDU/CSU nikada nije imao ozbiljnu konkurenicju na desnici od 1949. Jedna sansa je da podele iznutra AfD.
Takodje jedva cekam da vidim kako ce se takmicti u desnicarskoj retorici sa AfD. CDU/CSU nikada nije imao ozbiljnu konkurenicju na desnici od 1949. Jedna sansa je da podele iznutra AfD.
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- Post n°40
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Kinder Lad Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:15 pm
Zuper wrote:Jedva cekam kako ce da zatvore rupu narocito sto ne vidim da ekonomija Nemacke moze bolje od ovoga.
Takodje jedva cekam da vidim kako ce se takmicti u desnicarskoj retorici sa AfD. CDU/CSU nikada nije imao ozbiljnu konkurenicju na desnici od 1949. Jedna sansa je da podele iznutra AfD.
izbeglice
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alt-lib
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- Post n°41
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by boomer crook Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:16 pm
linke je izgleda iskrvario glasove na istoku pravo u afd.
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
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Join date : 2016-06-25
- Post n°42
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:40 pm
Po rasponu u godinama, SDP najgore stoji u rasponu 30-44, radnicka klasa.
Sa druge strane AfD upravo u tom uzrastu najbolje stoji.
CDU kao SNS, najbolji medju 60+ a najgore medju 30-44.
Linke ispod 30 godina najbolje stoji.
Sa druge strane AfD upravo u tom uzrastu najbolje stoji.
CDU kao SNS, najbolji medju 60+ a najgore medju 30-44.
Linke ispod 30 godina najbolje stoji.
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- Post n°43
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by boomer crook Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:42 pm
afd za ljude u zurbi.
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And Will's father stood up, stuffed his pipe with tobacco, rummaged his pockets for matches, brought out a battered harmonica, a penknife, a cigarette lighter that wouldn't work, and a memo pad he had always meant to write some great thoughts down on but never got around to, and lined up these weapons for a pygmy war that could be lost before it even started
- Posts : 10694
Join date : 2016-06-25
- Post n°44
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:42 pm
Workers: CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% SPD-S&D: 24% AfD-ENF: 19% LINKE-LEFT: 10% FDP-ALDE: 7% GRÜNE-G/EFA: 5%.
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Ubedljivo najbolji rezultat medju radnicima u odnosu na ukupan rezultat za AfD.
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Ubedljivo najbolji rezultat medju radnicima u odnosu na ukupan rezultat za AfD.
- Guest
- Post n°45
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Guest Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:46 pm
Ел Немци још увек имају радничку класу? Питам, не знам.
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- Post n°46
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:48 pm
No Country wrote:Ел Немци још увек имају радничку класу? Питам, не знам.
Najvecu u EU...Nemacka nije SAD ili UK, koji su razorili svoju industrijsku bazu, sto se vidi na nemackom trgovinskom suficitu.
Ovaj rezultat dosta baca senku na pricu o neverovatnom ekonomskom uspehu Nemacke. Nesto tu debelo ne valja kada su ovakvi rezultati. Nije to samo prica o imigraciji koja vuce gore AfD.
Last edited by Zuper on Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:51 pm; edited 1 time in total
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- Post n°47
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Kinder Lad Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:49 pm
Zuper wrote:Germany, ARD exit poll (18.12 CEST): Merkel's CDU/CSU (EPP) looses 1 million votes to AfD (ENF).
Migracija-halt
A mislim da ce i prica o EU malo ohladiti.
Sto je babi milo
Za razliku od ostalih zemalja EU sluzi Nemackoj, a ne obrnuto. Cak ni 1 AfD nije protiv EU. Cak ne narocito ni protiv konkretno Srbije u nj. Samo im je ideja kako to sve zajedno treba da izgleda malo...drugacija.
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alt-lib
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- Post n°48
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Kinder Lad Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:51 pm
Ali da ne bude da su stvari bas roze za EU, sa FDP ce biti problema
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alt-lib
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- Post n°49
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Zuper Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:52 pm
Kinder Lad wrote:Zuper wrote:
Migracija-halt
A mislim da ce i prica o EU malo ohladiti.
Sto je babi milo
Za razliku od ostalih zemalja EU sluzi Nemackoj, a ne obrnuto. Cak ni 1 AfD nije protiv EU. Cak ne narocito ni protiv konkretno Srbije u nj. Samo im je ideja kako to sve zajedno treba da izgleda malo...drugacija.
AfD je protiv jacanja Brisela na racun Berlina...
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- Post n°50
Re: Nemačka - sve sto želite da znate a ne smete da pitate Filipenka
by Kinder Lad Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:54 pm
Zuper wrote:Kinder Lad wrote:
Sto je babi milo
Za razliku od ostalih zemalja EU sluzi Nemackoj, a ne obrnuto. Cak ni 1 AfD nije protiv EU. Cak ne narocito ni protiv konkretno Srbije u nj. Samo im je ideja kako to sve zajedno treba da izgleda malo...drugacija.
AfD je protiv jacanja Brisela na racun Berlina...
A to da. Ali to je nista u odnosu na anti-EU partije negde drugde.
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alt-lib