Virus

Another excellent chart idea from @BristOliver

Just as in previous waves, cases today are an excellent guide to where hospital admissions will be 10 days into the future.

But there is a difference this time around, and here come two charts to illustrate it... https://t.co/cHkWVT7Rvg

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) June 15, 2021

And here’s the same data using another @BristOliver concept: admissions as share of cases 10 days earlier.

Today admissions are ~4% of lagged cases. At this point in the autumn wave, they were ~8%. pic.twitter.com/kOWzEVHIfz

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) June 15, 2021

And what feels like an obligatory addendum these days:

No, saying that vaccines are reducing hospitalisation rates is not saying "nothing to worry about here folks".

4% of cases can still mean a lot of admissions when cases are very high.

But it’s better than 8%.

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) June 15, 2021

The World Health Organization (WHO) said Wednesday that a new variant of COVID-19, named Lambda, was identified in 29 countries and notably in South America where it is believed to have originated.
First identified in Peru, the Lambda lineage was classified as a global Variant of Interest on Monday due to an "elevated prevalence" in South America, the WHO said in its weekly update.
Lambda has been rampant in Peru where 81 percent of COVID-19 cases since April 2021 were associated with this variant, authorities reported.
In Chile, it was detected in 32 percent of all submitted sequences in the last 60 days, and only outclassed by the Gamma variant which was first identified in Brazil. Other countries such as Argentina and Ecuador have also reported elevated prevalence of the new variant.
The WHO reported that the Lambda lineage carries mutations that might increase transmissibility or strengthen the virus's resistance to antibodies.
However, evidence is too limited for the moment, the Geneva-based organization said, and more studies are required to understand better the Lambda variant.

Juče sam bio u Batajnici, tamo kažu da je Delta stigla i da je slika takva da se odmah ide na aparate.

Olivier Véran, French health minister, said Delta variant is now 2 to 4% of new French covid cases or 50 to 100 cases daily. Previously, they admitted to only circa 150 cases overall. Veran pointed out that UK was at this level 3 or 4 weeks ago. https://t.co/uWKne4P4SY

— John Lichfield (@john_lichfield) June 15, 2021

"The delta variant represents between 2 and 4% of cases of #COVID19 detected in #France , compared to 0.5% last week. "We are crushing the virus but we should certainly not give the Indian variant a hold," explains Olivier Véran." (Health Minister) https://t.co/XneHIOgoR0

— KatieBoo Shill for liberté, égalité, fraternité (@k8tshires) June 16, 2021

"Olivier Véran reveals the data from the screening with the new method, which should make it possible to identify the Delta variant via its L452R mutation.
2 to 4% is much more than what was estimated via the Flash sequencing surveys (0.5% in that of May 25)."

— KatieBoo Shill for liberté, égalité, fraternité (@k8tshires) June 16, 2021

So far 71 cases of the delta variant in Austria
Most in Vienna and Salzburg.

Delta variant is apparently slowly but surely becoming a bigger issue in Austria, too: according to the Agency for Health and Food Safety, 71 corona cases of variant B.1.617.2, the so-called delta variant first detected in India, have occurred in this country so far. According to AGES, this is data as of today, Tuesday.

By far the most cases were sequenced in Vienna, with 32. Another 19 were detected in Salzburg, seven in Tyrol, six in Lower Austria, five in Styria and one each in Carinthia and Upper Austria. An expert had spoken to APA on Monday of "a slowly increasing number of individual cases." To the variant B.1.617.2 came according to AGES twelve more of the variants B.1.617.1 and B.1.617.3.

The delta variant is considered to be significantly more contagious than the previously known variants; in England, relaxations have been postponed because of the spread. France is also looking with concern at developments in its own country.

In calendar week 23 and overall, by far the most infections were still attributable to the alpha variant B.1.1.7, namely 902. B.1.617.2 came to 15 cases in the week, the other two Indian variants brought it to one infection. 16 cases were attributable to the gamma variant (P.1; Brazilian variant).

ČETVRTAK, 17. JUN 2021, 08:30 -> 08:44

Doktorka Adžić Vukičević: Brojke su relativne i mogu se lako promeniti, najteži pacijent ima samo 30 godina

Direktorka Kovid bolnice u Batajnici doktorka Tatjana Adžić Vukičević kaže za RTS da iako je trenutno najmanji broj hospitalizovanih ikada u toj zdravstvenoj ustanovi, brojke su nešto što je relativno i mogu se lako promeniti. Ističe da je trenutno u najtežem stanju tridesetogodišnji momak koji se nalazi na respiratoru, a prethodno nije imao nijednu pridruženu bolest.

Doktorka Tatjana Adžić Vukičević je navela da je trenutno povoljna epidemiološka situacija, kao i da brojevi padaju iz dana u dan.

"Ovo je najmanji broj hospitalizovanih ikada u našoj bolnici, od ovih 75 bolesnika 60 se nalazi u jedinicama poluintenzivnog lečenja, 15 u jedinicama intenzivnog lečenja, a intubirana su tri bolesnika", dodaje Adžić Vukičevićeva.

"Brojke – to je nešto što je relativno i što se može promeniti iz dana u dan, iz sata u sat i to je nešto što nas ne može toliko dovoljno ohrabriti, već nas jačati u našim namerama kako da se borimo i šta da činimo u vezi sa ovom infekcijom", naglašava doktorka.

Ukazala je da većina pacijenata ne zna gde se zarazila, a niko od njih ko trenutno leži u bolnici u Batajnici nije vakcinisan.

"Različitih su starosnih grupa i polova. Trenutno naš najteži pacijent je 1991. godište, ima samo 30 godina, i to je neko za koga smo se borili osam prethodnih dana da ga ne stavimo na respirator i to smo morali da uradimo u nedelju uveče, jer on više nije imao snage da diše", navela je Adžić Vukičevićeva.

Istakla je da je on prethodno bio zdrav momak, bez ijedne pridružene bolesti.

Sve više pacijenata se žali na posledice kovida a doktorka kaže da dnevno na Klinici za pulomologiju pregledaju od 50 do 70 ljudi.

"Javljaju se različitim simptomima – kratak dah, osećaj nedostatka vazduha, izrazito zamaranje. Polovina njih je post kovid komplikacijama i najčešće viđamo fibroze pluća, bolesnik posle kovida treba još dugo vremena da bude pod budnim okom pulmologa da mu se olakša njegovo disanje", navela je doktorka.

Pored toga, kako kaže, često se žale i na nedostatak kiseonika i da jedan broj pacijenata i po izlasku iz bolnice mora da primaju kiseoničku terapiju.

"Na kraju to su i embolije pluća i tromboze goreih i donjih ekstrimiteta, kao i izlivi u plućnoj maramici", kaže Adžić Vukičevićeva.

Za kraj, poručila je građanima da imaju priliku da se vakcinišu i da treba da je iskoriste.

"Nikome od nas ne treba da bude teško kada uđemo u neki market, tržni centar, restoran ili neki drugi zatvoren prostor da nosimo masku, jer ćemo na taj način usporiti i umrtviti virus, a i sama vakcina će tome pomoći da konačno se vratimo u normalne životne tokove", zaključila je Adžić Vukičevićeva.

MNE wrote:

MNE wrote:
3.92
2.81
3.31
3.16
2.2
2.38
2.41

2.88% prosjek

2.58
2.75
2.18
1.81
2.71
1.11
1.59

2.1% prosjek

This is such an important study. I like longitudinal studies - this UK one demonstrates convincingly that #COVID19 causes brain damage. It explains some symptoms of 'long COVID' and reinforces my view that it's wrong to allow children to get infected. https://t.co/YAud4HuYsg pic.twitter.com/uG8igdETqm

— Dr Gabriel Scally (@GabrielScally) June 18, 2021

"The latest data we got, 89.3 percent of those who got sick were sick with a mutated coronavirus called Delta, which is an Indian strain. And it turned out to be more aggressive and spreads faster. And the most unpleasant thing is that in order to resist - a person, his immune status, his number of antibodies, as they say now, must be almost twice as high as against the Wuhan virus, which means that, in fact, we are starting to go through this history all over again. And with dire consequences. That's why we're seeing such, explosive growth in morbidity, a big increase in hospitalizations, just a huge increase in hospitalizations. We introduce almost every day new hospitals, new buildings in the fight against COVID-19, and we can barely keep up," said Sergei Sobyanin.

Del Cap wrote:

This is such an important study. I like longitudinal studies - this UK one demonstrates convincingly that #COVID19 causes brain damage. It explains some symptoms of 'long COVID' and reinforces my view that it's wrong to allow children to get infected. https://t.co/YAud4HuYsg pic.twitter.com/uG8igdETqm

— Dr Gabriel Scally (@GabrielScally) June 18, 2021