EU - what's next?

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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Gargantua on Fri May 04, 2018 7:15 am

http://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_nero_macron_merkel_and_the_state_of_relations_with_trump

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When they each came to Washington recently, Emmanuel Macron and Angela Merkel appeared to be aware of this change in method. Both had prepared themselves for dealing with the Trump show; both tried to play the part assigned to them; but both proved, in the end, either unable or unwilling to stay in character right to the end.
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Macron and France are benefiting from the return of power politics and Trump’s understanding of it. As a nuclear power with a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, willing and somewhat able to project military force upon the decision of its president, France fits the Trumpian ideal far better than Germany, which has none of these capabilities. Despite Macron’s EU focus, his sovereigntist image appeals Trump; symbols of power and France’s participation in military missions speak to him. But, beyond that, in the eyes of the US president praising France makes the US look stronger and bigger, as American power far exceeds French power. Merkel and Germany, on the other hand, have less relevance in Washington today, mostly because of the low significance it assigns to the EU. Trump looks on Brussels with the same misconception that guides Vladimir Putin or Xi Jinping – as not relevant because it is not in possession of sovereign power. Germany’s leverage over the past decade and its impact on EU policymaking weighs less in current international affairs.

The two visits were reassuring for Trump. To him, both France and Germany are weaklings, albeit of different schools: the former of the more sympathetic but somewhat impertinent variant; the latter rather selfish and somewhat cowardly. They pretend to follow America’s lead, though they each pursue their own narrow interests. Both appear ready to make concessions on trade and follow through on new measures to contain Iran, but need some more pushing. Why forge unity among Europeans through punitive tariffs when a bit more time could bring out their divisions? Why pull the plug on the Iran deal when the ticking of the clock makes Europeans nervous? And so, the US will continue to put pressure on Europe and wait for its effects to show. In their visits to Washington, Macron and Merkel tried to muddle through in their own very different ways; neither are able to claim much success. The burden of taking Europe’s destiny into their own hands has become heavier.


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Gargantua on Fri May 04, 2018 4:53 pm


Beppe Grillo, the Italian comedian who founded the 5Star Movement, has brought back one of the founding ideas of the anti-establishment party: Holding a referendum on Italy’s membership of the euro.

“I have proposed a referendum for the eurozone. I want the Italians people to express themselves,” Grillo said in an interview with the French website Putsch, published Friday. “Do people agree with it? Is there a plan B? Do we need or not to leave Europe?”

The firebrand comedian-turned-politician added that “there are two economies [in Europe] …. one of the North and one of the South. And we, Italians, are in the South.”

Calling a referendum on the single currency would be forbidden by the Italian constitution, which doesn’t allow votes on international treaties.

Opposition to the single currency was a key message of the 5Stars in its early days. However, in the run-up to the March 4 election, the party softened its stance and the call for a referendum was not included in the manifesto. Grillo, 69, has of late taken a step back from the party he founded, with a new, young leader, 31-year-old Luigi Di Maio, taking over.


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Zuper on Sat May 05, 2018 11:11 pm

"Junker izveo puč protiv Evrope"

Brisel -- Predsedavajuća Komiteta za budžetsku kontrolu EP Ingeborg Gresle optužila je predsednika Evropske komisije Žan-Kloda Junkera da je izveo "puč" protiv Evrope.
Kako je rekla, Junker je izveo “puč” time što je svog šefa kabineta Martina Zelmajra postavio za generalnog sekretara Evropske komisije.
Gresleova je u autorskom tekstu za francuski list "Liberasjon" navela da time Evropska komisija pokazuje da "ne poštuje sopstvena pravila", prenosi politico.eu.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Filipenko on Sun May 06, 2018 1:32 am

Nisi preneo najzanimljiviji deo, srpski ugao 




Martinov deda Jozef Zelmajr bio je kao pripadnik Vermahta osuđen za ratne zločine u Jugoslaviji, a u Zapadnoj Nemačkoj je kasnije postao prvi direktor Vojne kontraobaveštajne službe (MAD).


Samo se u mrtvog Svabu mozes pouzdati.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Filipenko on Sun May 06, 2018 1:41 am


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Zuper on Wed May 09, 2018 1:54 am

Trump’s new ambassador to Germany, Richard Grenell, issued what amounted to a diktat on Twitter today: “As @realDonaldTrump said, US sanctions will target critical sectors of Iran’s economy. German companies doing business in Iran should wind down operations immediately.”
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Filipenko on Wed May 09, 2018 2:37 am

Veži Švabu gde ti gazda kaže.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Gargantua on Wed May 09, 2018 8:03 pm

Trump becomes number one threat to European economy
By Jorge Valero | EURACTIV.com
16:44

US President Donald Trump’s decision to leave the Iran deal represents his third strike against the  European economy in half a year and will add more volatility in an already difficult period.

As EU institutions are debating whether Europe’s economic growth is nearing the end of the cycle after years of robust recovery, Trump’s announcement has fuelled oil prices and increased the uncertainty for European companies doing business with Iran.

The decision came amid a trade dispute between the US and other large economies, including the EU and China, and followed the fiscal stimulus passed by Washington last autumn, seen as a potential risk on this side of the Atlantic.

The European Commission expected last week the eurozone economy to grow 2.3% this year and 2% in 2019. But in contrast with previous forecasts, the Commission did not review upwards the figure. The Commissioner for Economic Affairs, Pierre Moscovici, noted the “slowdown” of the output but said the growth remained “robust”.

In its forecast, the Commission strongly revised upwards the oil prices (Brent) to an average of $67.7 per barrel in 2018 and $63.9 in 2019, a 21.5% and 16.8% increase compared to its November forecast.

Above the reference

But rumours about a potential breakdown of the Iran deal and additional geopolitical turbulence, especially political instability in Venezuela, have sent Brent crude prices above the Commission’s reference price since early April. On Wednesday (9 May), prices went up by 2.81% to reach $76.

Analysts expect oil prices to remain at this level or higher in the coming months.

The Commission declined to estimate what could be the impact of higher oil prices on the European economy or its labour market.

“The Spring Forecast, published last week, notes that oil prices have been quite volatile in the first quarter of 2018 and that the current volatility is likely to persist in 2018, as uncertainties about the oil price outlook have increased,” a Commission spokesperson said.

But EU countries struggling to balance their public accounts have crunched the numbers in a worsened scenario in their draft budgetary plans sent to the Commission this spring.



The Spanish government estimated that if the barrel price grew to 75$, it could result in a  -0.7% decrease of the GDP and 150.000 job losses. If the oil prices stabilise around $82, the Spanish economy could lose 3.8% of GDP over the 2018-2021 period and 550.000 jobs would disappear.

This is the third decision taken by Trump since last autumn that is threatening the global economy, in particular, the European expansion.

Moscovici warned last week that Washington’s fiscal stimulus and Trump’s protectionism represented a “dangerous nexus”.

Moreover, the Commission warned in its forecast that if the global value chain is disrupted because of the trade conflict, the European expansion could be thrown “off track”.

Protecting European firms

European companies will also be impacted by Trump’s Iran decision, as they will have six months to cease all activities with Iran or face US sanctions.

“US sanctions will target critical sectors of Iran’s economy. German companies doing business in Iran should wind down operations immediately,” said the new ambassador to Berlin, Richard Grenell, on Twitter.

It remains to be seen how the US will apply the sanctions and what mechanisms the Europeans could set up to protect their firms.

US Secretary of Treasure, Steve Mnuchin, said the US Administration would pursue action under primary and secondary sanctions authorities, so European firms with investments or operations in the US could be hit if they maintain their links with Iran.




Airbus, Siemens, Peugeot-Citroen, Renault, Total, Eni, Danieli are among the companies affected.

“At this moment it is not easy to quantify the possible economic impact of the US withdrawal on European business activity,” said Emma Marcegaglia, the president of BusinessEurope, the largest EU business association.

Marcegaglia said companies need “legal clarity”, but expected the EU institutions and European governments to help the European businesses deal with “the uncertainty and its negative consequences”.

The Commission said that it is working on plans to protect “the interests of the European companies”.

The nuclear deal “is not a bilateral agreement and it is not in the hands of any single country to terminate it unilaterally,” the EU foreign affairs chief Federica Mogherini said in a statement.

Cornelius Adebahr, a fellow at Carnegie Europe, told Bloomberg that the EU could establish euro-denominated credit lines and clearing-houses that can green-light legitimate business with Iran.

Vulnerability

For Grégory Claeys, a research fellow at Bruegel, the impact of higher oil prices could be limited, as the euro will be higher than expected. “The two effects could compensate thanks to a strong euro,” he told EURACTIV.

But he warned of the “fragility” of the European expansion.  The EU’s economy is “very vulnerable”, given its dependency on external demand, the internal demand is “still suffering, he said.

The diminishing vigour of the European output sparked a debate in the ECB and in the European Commission on whether the bloc is nearing the end of the expansion cycle.

However, both institutions concluded that the “loss of momentum” in the economic activity was due primarily to temporary factors.


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Zuper on Thu May 10, 2018 5:46 pm




AFP news agency ✔️ @AFP


#BREAKING Europe can no longer rely on US 'to protect it': Merkel

Pukotine na zapadu.
Bas me zanima sta se da urade.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by KinderLad on Thu May 10, 2018 6:02 pm

Nemci? Povećaće prag za odlazak u penziju na 67.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by beatakeshi on Thu May 10, 2018 6:06 pm

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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Gargantua on Thu May 10, 2018 6:08 pm

Da budžetski suficit bude bar 5% BDPa!


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by William Murderface on Thu May 10, 2018 6:09 pm



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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."

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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Gargantua on Sat May 12, 2018 12:19 pm

Scoop: EU statement opposing U.S. embassy move is blocked

Hungary, the Czech Republic and Romania, in coordination with Israel, today blocked a joint EU statement criticizing the relocation of the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem, Israeli officials and European diplomats told me.

Behind the scenes: The initiative to publish the statement was led by France and several other EU member states. Israeli officials say the goal was to present to the U.S. a common position against the move by all 28 member states, and to embarrass and isolate the Trump administration ahead of Monday's ceremony.

According to European diplomats and Israeli officials, the draft statement circulated in European capitals had three points:

   Jerusalem should be the capital of both states — Israel and the future state of Palestine.
   The final status of Jerusalem should be negotiated and only determined through negotiations between the parties.
   The member states of the EU will not follow the U.S. and will not move their embassies to Jerusalem.

According to European diplomats and Israeli officials the French and other member states wanted to publish the statement today as a statement by the EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini supported by all 28 EU members.

   But earlier today, Hungary, the Czech Republic and Romania announced they object to the statement and made it impossible to reach the consensus needed to publish it.
   A senior European diplomat told me with a lot of frustration: "The Hungarians didn’t want to poke Trump in the eye and the Czechs and the Romanians are considering to move their embassies to Jerusalem against the EU position. This is the state of the EU these days".

https://www.axios.com/hungary-czech-romania-block-eu-statement-against-embassy-move-jerusalem-6b85f6bb-8861-4dab-8473-e542196d1368.html?utm_source=sidebar


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Zuper on Sat May 12, 2018 2:27 pm

Je l ti ono bese rekao da nema zemalja po EU koje kontrolisu SAD?
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by KinderLad on Sat May 12, 2018 2:48 pm

Ne mora to da bude. Možda se cenkaju za one pare oje hoće da im uzmu i daju Mediterancima u Evrozoni.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by William Murderface on Sat May 12, 2018 3:48 pm

Eh, a secam se dana kad su se na Fidesovim mitinzima nosili transparenti o jevrejskoj osovini zla - Vasington, Tel Aviv, Budimpesta...


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"Oni kroz mene gledaju u vas! Oni kroz njega gledaju u vas! Oni kroz vas gledaju u mene... i u sve nas."

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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Filipenko on Sun May 13, 2018 12:20 am

"...jer nas spaja Karlo Veliki!"   Luda Andja Babasvaba i Mali Zabac Babojebac. Cak i 1 Tramp naspram njih deluje kao gromada.



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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Gargantua on Sun May 13, 2018 10:51 pm

As Italy’s leading vote-getters work through the weekend to hammer out a coalition deal — about time, some might add, two months after the election — the EU and Brussels establishments are in a state of heightened anxiety.

A government of the 5Stars (anti-establishment, in media shorthand) and the League (far right, ditto) together, or somehow alone, is unprecedented. Never before in any of the six original EU countries, much less one of its leading powers, have parties deeply skeptical toward the EU grabbed the reins of power.
...

https://www.politico.eu/article/silvio-berlusconi-beppe-grillo-antonio-tajani-5stars-forza-italia-italy-euro-how-italy-could-blow-up-europe-as-we-know-it/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Zuper on Mon May 14, 2018 1:04 am

Treba jos sacekati ali zanimljiv program imaju. Evo npr. imaju neke ideje Varufaiksa pa se nadam da ce se ovde obradovati.
Uzgred, mislim da ce Berlin i Pariz ipak pratiti Trampa u Iranu iako ce Persijanci pokazati koliko su zapadni politicari korumpirani.
A sve je krenulo pre par dana sa sudom u Milanu...
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Filipenko on Mon May 14, 2018 9:07 am

Zuper wrote:Uzgred, mislim da ce Berlin i Pariz ipak pratiti Trampa u Iranu iako ce Persijanci pokazati koliko su zapadni politicari korumpirani.


Naravno da će ga pratiti. Uostalom, zamisli tek šta Ameri imaju o evropskim političarima i na koje sve načine mogu to da plasiraju u javnost, kakvi crni Iranci 
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by bruno sulak on Mon May 14, 2018 9:22 am

PLEASE SHARE WIDELY....

MESSAGE FROM POLAND

Repression of Polish Intellectuals during a Conference on Marx

"Poland: police intervention disrupts a conference on Karl Marx

A police intervention disrupted an academic conference on Karl Marx's theory at the University of Szczecin conference centre in Pobierowo (West Pomerania, Poland). Police officers entered the university building at the behest of the Polish prosecutor's office, under pretences of investigating whether totalitarian and anti-national content had been promoted during the conference.

The conference was organized by the scientific journal Nowa Krytyka (New Criticism) and the University of Szczecin on the occasion of the 200th anniversary of the birth of Karl Marx. The event is a part of a series of conferences devoted to Marx’s legacy (organised since 2010).

The conference participants comprised faculty members, PhD students and students from the largest Polish universities (including the University of Warsaw, Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznan and University of Szczecin). The conference programme included numerous papers on Marx's ideas, as well as on various related themes, such as the works of Antonio Gramsci, Paulo Freire, Zygmunt Bauman, Wolfgang Streeck and Theodor Adorno.

During the intervention, uniformed police officers entered the premises of the university centre following orders of the Polish Prosecutor's Office. They identified and interrogated the organiser, photographed the “evidence” in the form of fully publicly available scientific publications, and made inquiries about the nature of their academic content. Officially, they were supposed to examine whether the conference did not promote "the content, symbols and practices of totalitarianism" and whether it did not constitute an “anti-national activity” in accordance with the provisions of the new Act on the Polish Institute of National Remembrance (IPN)."


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The law provides us structure to guide us through paralyzing and trying times. But it requires us a vision to its procedures and higher purposes. Before we assume our respective roles in this enduring drama just let me say that when these frail shadows we inhabit now have quit the stage we'll meet and raise a glass again together in Valhalla.
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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by William Murderface on Mon May 14, 2018 9:29 am

Kakvi ludaci.


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by паће on Mon May 14, 2018 10:04 am

Filipenko wrote:
Zuper wrote:Uzgred, mislim da ce Berlin i Pariz ipak pratiti Trampa u Iranu iako ce Persijanci pokazati koliko su zapadni politicari korumpirani.


Naravno da će ga pratiti. Uostalom, zamisli tek šta Ameri imaju o evropskim političarima i na koje sve načine mogu to da plasiraju u javnost, kakvi crni Iranci 

Знају исто као што су знали да Садам има хемијско оружје - сачували су фактуре.


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Re: EU - what's next?

Post by Filipenko on Mon May 14, 2018 10:51 am

William Murderface wrote:Kakvi ludaci.


Nisu oni ludaci. Ludaci smo mi. Nije sloboda kada upadaju na konferenciju o Marksu i Engelsu i hapsimo, sloboda je kada mi upadamo na konferenciju o Adamu Smitu i Maksu Veberu i hapsimo. 

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